Looking closer at the smaller structure, it appears very excitably bullish. The upside potential is highly probable. An impulsive push should validate the 3 of 3 of 3. Technical indicators are supportive too.
Following up on the development, if the count is valid, the exuberant downside thrust should occur fulfilling its fifth way down in its primary degree.
USDJPY has made its way to a high probable resistant zone where wave a to wave c are equidistant ; the length of wave c is 1.618 that of wave a and at the retracement zone of 0.618 while prices flutter around the trend line.
Following up on the previous posting where confluences in technical support suggest a high probable bottoming in the longer term. This shorter term display suggests a possible 5 wave sequence up which may be the mother of another bull trend in the making. We can comfortably qualify our risk level here against the potential reward if this is the start of a bull phase.
A closer observation on the confluences between wave relationship from different points insinuate a high probable topping at 161.95 (see previous posting on the longer- term wave relationship). There is a possibility of a 5 wave completion to the downside and a current corrective upside in play. Interestingly, price breached the supporting trendline to see it...
Following the earlier posting, this is another possible count which shows the primary wave 4 has just been completed and pending wave 5 with a downside bias in play. Given the display of 3 waves structures, a double or triple zig zag may evolve. We would like the market to express its intention by unfolding in the coming days.
USDJPY has likely completed its primary bear trend and displayed a corrective 3 wave structure up to end a primary wave a. Following a highly probable wave b down is likely as the initial down swing is taking place currently. The guideline of a retracement to wave four of one lesser degree is also in place supported by a 50% retracement value provides that...
Further to the pattern of the BAT formation and the objective of the head and shoulder formation stated earlier, we get to see the influence of the Phi numbers clustering which further support a high probable bottoming scenario. The upward curl of the MACD supports the bottoming scenario.
Interestingly, the wave relationship fitted nicely from 1999 to 2008 where wave 'a' was equal to wave 'c' to form the primary wave A(red). Wave C @ 0.618 of wave A from wave B projects towards 3877 together with other minor clusters in that range suggesting a probable resistive band. A 3-4 year cycle is also present which suggests year 2024 and 2025 likely.
This contract displayed a 3 wave structure and current fourth panning out an irregular pattern should see upside for wave 5 should price not go below $48 (over lapping wave1). If the $48 is breached, the current move would be seen as a B wave with potential support seen at 45.30 or lower 32.50. Wave c up would eventually follow. What will it be ?? 🤔
This coking coal chart is appearing to be concluding its final leg down making it attractive as the wave features are conforming. Extension of the final wave c is possible especially the presence of a gap that may be needed to close.
If 139.13 ended the cycle wave C the likely retracement support may fall into 57.59-60.87 where wave a to c relationship plays out together with the 38.2% retracement; or lower to 46.46-47.15 where we have the 50% mark and the wave a to c in equality. Interestingly, the 2 red horizontal lines demonstrate the idea of it being a support /resistance tracing all the...
There is a likely 5 wave sequence(hourly) to the upside which should call for more attention and also knowing your risk level. The presence of a positive divergence against MACD gives weight to the possibility of the pending upturn.
on a log scale, the head and shoulder formation objective have likely been fulfilled. This should augment the idea of a high probable bottoming with the other confluences in price objectives.
December beanoil is a high probable low area worth having a closer look as numerous projections and retracement confluencing at around the 37-38 cts. The time taken in the bull market from March '20 to April '22 is almost the same time it took to retreat. At the recent low,it took 840 calendar days compared to 772 days of rise. Supporting the high probability is...
Adding to the possibility of the BAT formation , we have the Head and Shoulder pattern too that pressured prices. The objective from the pattern suggests support within that of the BAT coincidentally.
A possible setup for the BAT formation in Soybeans is worth taking a look where XD retracement to 0.886@894, AB*1.618=CD@919 and extension of BC 2.618@960. That cluster is approaching.
The setup for the AB=CD appears to be showing up too. The confluence of the different methodology expressed may entice one to look closer.