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0dte 10y2y-yieldcurve 10yryields 2yrbonds 6e1! 6j1! agri agricommodity agriculturals agriculture ai alphagenerating amazon apple arbitrage argentina audusdshort australiandollar baidu bankingcrisis bankingstocks banks bearcallspread bearmarket betahedge beyondta bigbanks bitcoin bitcoinfutures bitcoinidea bitcoinminers blackscholes blackscholesoptionpricing blacksholesmerton blockchain boe boj bojexpectations brazil btc btc1! btcdominance btceth btcfutures btcgold btcspotetf btcusd bullcallspread bullputspread buythedip byd calendarspread capitalonefinancialcorporation cashandcarry centralbankpolicyimpact centralbanks cfd chartpattern chatgpt china china50 chinarecovery chips chipstocks citi cl cl1 cl1! clfutures cme cmefutures coinbase commercialrealestate commitmentsoftraders commodities comparitiveperformance consumersentiment containsimage copper corn cot coveredcall crackspread crisis crudeoil crushspread crypto cryptomarket cryptomarkets cryptorally cryptostocks currency currencymarkets dbs debtceiling debtcrisis dedollarization deficit dfj distillate dollarindex dowjones dxy dxyshort earnings earningsplay ecb economiccycle elections electricvehicles eminisp500 equityoption es1! etf etfapproval eth eth1! ethbtc ethbtclong ethereum ethfutures ethusd euro eurofx eurusd eurusdprediction ev eventdriven exports fed federalreserve fedpolicy fedwatch fees financials financialstocks fixedincome fomc forex fundamental futures futurestrading fxtrading gammascalping gartnerhypecycle gasoline gbpusd gc1! gdx geopolitical-risk geopolitics gold goldfutures goldlong goldminers goldplatinumratio goldprice goldtradingstrategy goldtrend google governmentbondyields growth gsr harvest hedging hedgingwithoptions henryhub hg hg1! historicalanalysis ho1! housing hype impliedvolatility indicator industrialmetals inflation interestrates intervention inventory invertedyieldcurve japan japanequity japanesestocks japaneseyen japanstocks jobsreport jp225 jpm jpy jpyusd largecap long longstraddle longstrangle marketoutlook mbt1! mcl1! meanreversion mes1! meta metals metalstrading mgc1! microbitcoin microfutures microgold microsilver microsoft momentumstrategy monetarypolicy movingaverage msl1! mtfa mzc1! nasdaq nasdaq100 naturalgas ndx nft nfttoken ng1! ni225 ni225long nikkei225trade nvda nvidia oilforecast oilmarkets oilrefining oiltrading opec optionsstrategies optionstrading ordinals phlx photovoltaic pivotpoints platinum policy portfolio portfolio-allocation portfoliorepositioning preciousmetals primer protectiveput putspread quantitativetightening ratecut ratecuts ratehikes rateparity rates ratio rb1! realestate realestatesector recession recovery regionalbanks regulation relativevalue reopening reservecurrency reshoring riskmanagement russia rut safehaven seasonalities seasonality seasonality-trading seasonaltendencies sector_analysis semiconductors sharperatio short shortsetup si1! signaturebank sil1! silver singapore smallcaps sol1! solana solusd sortinoratio sox soy soybean soybeancrush soybeanforecast soybeanfutures soybeanmeal soybeanoil soybeans soyfutures sp500index spf spr spread spreadtrading spx spx500 spxoptions spy steepening stimulus straddle strangle supersevens supply_and_demand supplyanddemand supportandresistance svb tariffs techstocks tesla thefuturesleap theleap trade tradingplan tradingtool travel treasurybonds treasuryfutures treasurymarket treasuryyield treasuryyields trendanalysis trump us us02y us10y us10y-us02y usdebt usdjpy usdollar uselections usequities usmarkets usoil usrecessions ustreasuries utilities utilitiessector value vix volatility volatilityexpansion volatilityindex volatilitytrade volatilitytrading war wasde weather wgmi wheat wti wticrude xaf xau xauusd xlre xlu yen yenfutures yenusd yield yieldcurve yieldcurveinversion yieldfutures yields yieldspread zc1! Less Tags Show All Tags
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There are ideas on different regional versions of TradingView:
Three Headwinds to Send Crude Oil Into Free Fall
MCLN2023
, 1D
Short
MCLN2023: Three Headwinds to Send Crude Oil Into Free Fall

Not too long ago, Gasoline prices rattled American car drivers with a price tag of USD 5 a gallon. And now, much to their delight, gasoline prices have eased to USD 3.50 a gallon. Slump in crude prices which influences gasoline has plunged by one-third over the last twelve months. A barrel of West Texas Intermediate ("WTI") trades around USD 70. Rattled US...

Corn Prices Fizzle on Bumper Harvest
ZC1!
, 1D
Short
ZC1!: Corn Prices Fizzle on Bumper Harvest

Corn prices have fallen 14% since the start of 2023. The latest USDA report points to further downside. Corn prices are expected to fizzle with expectations of a bumper harvest combined with tepid demand. The USDA expects a record harvest of 15.27 billion bushels. The 2023/24 forecasts signal rising corn supply boosting ending stocks to their highest level since...

Navigating The American Debt Ceiling Drama
US01MY
, 1D
US01MY: Navigating The American Debt Ceiling Drama

Some people create their own storms. And then get upset when it starts to rain. US Debt Ceiling drama is akin to a soap opera that never ends. Debt ceiling issue is not new. Why bother now? Political polarisation in the US has got to unprecedented levels. The showmanship could tip over into a political nightmare. It could send economic shockwaves with impact...

A Primer on Soybean Crush Spread
ZL1!
, 1D
Education
ZL1!: A Primer on Soybean Crush Spread

Soybeans are one of the most versatile and important agricultural commodities in the world, consumed extensively by humans, livestock, and industry. Soybean prices have an undeniable impact on the global economy and their importance is only increasing with the rapidly growing bio-diesel industry. In our previous paper Heavy Exports Weighing Down Soybeans , we...

Euro Soars with Dollar Woes
6EM2023
, 1D
Long
6EM2023: Euro Soars with Dollar Woes
Updated 

One thing about tables, they turn. This time last year, the dollar was unrivalled. Now, it is being challenged amid a banking crisis, recessionary fears, and a debt ceiling drama. Having stepped up on the rates faster than the rest, the US Fed’s combat against inflation fuelled a dollar rally . It now finds itself between a hard place and a rock. Many expect the...

Yen Step Back, Two Steps Forward
6JM2023
, 1D
Long
6JM2023: Yen Step Back, Two Steps Forward
Updated 

Despite sharp inflation, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) left YCC unchanged on March 10th. This was Haruhiko Kuroda’s last meeting as BOJ Governor. Japan is still struggling to stoke growth at risk of sustained stagflation. Hence, his decision to leave rates intact was no surprise. Kuroda left the YCC unchanged. Analysts expected him to scrap the YCC so that the new...

Cheap Yen & Low P/E To Deliver Immense Bargains in Nikkei
NIYM2023
, 1D
Long
NIYM2023: Cheap Yen & Low P/E To Deliver Immense Bargains in Nikkei

Buying financial assets in dips provides an inbuilt margin of safety. Enriching that trade is a currency that is hovering at its near lowest in a decade. Expected equity gains compounded with Yen that is anticipated to strengthen will strongly propel alpha from the proposed trade setup in Japanese equities. The P/E ratio based on next 12-months earnings in...

Celebrating 50 Years of Equity Options Trading
VIX
, 1D
Education
VIX: Celebrating 50 Years of Equity Options Trading

Amid serious pushback, Chicago Board of Options Exchange (CBOE) went live on 26th April 1973. Options are now a standard tool for portfolio risk management. Not so, back then. They were seen as gambling instruments for reckless speculators. Shortly after CBOE launch, Fischer Black, Myron Scholes, and Robert Merton provided a mathematical model for computing...

Heavy Exports Weighing Down Soybeans
ZSN2023
, 1D
Short
ZSN2023: Heavy Exports Weighing Down Soybeans

Soybean is among the world’s most traded crop. It is used in various industries. Soybean drives global food prices. It can tilt trade balances of an entire nation. This paper describes the importance of Soybean. It lists key producers, consumer and maps the harvesting cycle across the calendar by top producing countries. Given rising Brazilian exports, higher...

How Much Gold Does Your Portfolio Need?
GC1!
, 1W
Education
GC1!: How Much Gold Does Your Portfolio Need?

Economists make forecasts to make weathermen look good. Trying to forecast trends in complex systems is never easy. As with weather, financial markets are influenced by a myriad of factors which can make prediction akin to gambling. Time in the market beats timing the market so a far safer bet is building a diversified and informed portfolio. As mentioned in our ...

When Fear Reigns Banking Majors Gain
KBWB
, 1D
Long
KBWB: When Fear Reigns Banking Majors Gain
Updated 

In times of crisis, investors rush to safety. When risk shows in places of safety, bank runs begin. One's pain is someone else's gain. Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) & Signature Banks' combined assets at $300 billion is witnessing a flight to safety. At $300 billion, it is trivial relative to $23 trillion within the American banking system. Remember that the FDIC...

DBS to Gain as Funds Rain in Singapore
D05
, 1D
Long
D05: DBS to Gain as Funds Rain in Singapore
Updated 

DBS is positioned uniquely at the intersection of both India and China to gain from growth in both countries. Facilitating capital flows out of China, continued rising footprint in India, digital asset presence, a trusted bank in Singapore which is emerging as the Swiss of Asia, DBS has more than one source of tailwind powering its upward flight. Specifically,...

Producing Recurring Income in Gold
GCV2023
, 1D
Education
GCV2023: Producing Recurring Income in Gold

Gold has long been a darling of investors. Its holders - whether households or central banks - seek refuge in the yellow metal in times of crisis. Gold is a resilient store of wealth, offers durable portfolio diversification, exhibits lower volatility relative to equities & bonds, and serves as an inflation hedge. But it has a big downside. As mentioned in our ...

Five Reasons and Six Ways to Invest in Gold
GC1!
, 1D
Education
GC1!: Five Reasons and Six Ways to Invest in Gold
Updated 

"Gold is money. Everything else is credit.", said John Pierpont Morgan. When borrowers default, markets collapse and banks run into crisis, gold prices skyrocket. Gold is trading at a 12-month high on March 18th. Gold has been valued for thousands of years. Gold has unique properties. It has been enchanting women and men since humans set foot on the planet....

Gold Shines as Nasdaq Declines
GC1!
, 1D
Long
GC1!: Gold Shines as Nasdaq Declines
Updated 

Gold glows as risk blows. Multiple bank failures and shotgun bank marriages are bringing back scary memories of 2008. Amid gloom, demand for gold blooms. Gold is a resilient store of wealth, offers durable portfolio diversification, exhibits lower volatility relative to equities, and serves as an inflation hedge. As described in our last paper , among the six...

Rebounding Air Travel & Rising China to Fire Up WTI Crude
CLU2023
, 1D
Long
CLU2023: Rebounding Air Travel & Rising China to Fire Up WTI Crude
Updated 

Back in the 70s, oil prices spiked shockingly from $2.90 to $11.65 a barrel; gasoline soared 6-times from 20 cents to 120 cents a gallon in a matter of days. Fuel shortages forced factories to shut, airlines to cancel flights and stations crying "Sorry, No Gas Today". Fistfights ensued, including occasional gunfire. President Nixon called for America to end its...

Long AI Short Hype
MNQM2023
, 1D
Long
MNQM2023: Long AI Short Hype
Updated 

Fighting innovation is a fool’s errand. Getting entangled in hype is no less. Generative AI is drawing attention. ChatGPT skyrocketed in popularity since launch last November. With its intuitive responses, it has become the fastest-growing app in history reaching one million users in five days and 100 million in two months. In contrast, Google took 12 months and...

Navigating The Illusion of Safety
ESM2023
, 1D
Long
ESM2023: Navigating The Illusion of Safety
Updated 

False security is dangerous. Wall Street's fear gauge is muted. Is the VIX cruising for a bruising? As mentioned in our previous papers, current times are unprecedented, from geo-politics tensions, restrictive monetary policies, fractured corporate earnings, to sticky inflation. the VIX should be anything but sanguine. Any mild escalation could send equities...

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