Its so wrong to draw a single trend line on this chart. The trend is morphing .
Bitcoin might reach 4300 area before retesting the 200 weekly MA , RSI has a tendency to pass 38 area, If so, RSI wont have the power to cross 42 and will fall off.
A symmetric triangle has been forming on daily chart, soon to be broken. I incline on down
A simplified chart is worth a million. A cross of 5 Ema on 30MA on the weekly chart has marked the initiation of BULL and BEAR market since 2012 ( look at the vertical lines). Still 6-10 months away from the same cross I believe. 30 MA is still far from 200 MA and must approach gradually. Accumulation will happen in 2 months.
Weekly RSI is moving a bit up, the price might go up, up to 4800, then going down for another 3200 test. We have not seen a break of 200 weekly moving average yet (can be accompanied with capitulation). RSI is repeating the last bulrun patteren.
DOnt want to see btc fall into the lower triangle for a long time, a quick breach can be handled but falling and remaining there for more than three weeks might put the bull at stake for a longer wait.
It should cross 200 MA once and touch it at least twice I believe before convincing people to get ready for a rise
These two trend lines, Red and green, are very critical at this point. I have a close eye on them, whichever price choosees to go with, I go with