moneyjeff1
Gold is about to enter its most important phase for a very long time. If it is in an impulse wave, then it will clear the $2200 to $2300 area and, longer term, target at least the $2800 level. If it fails the pink important zone, then it has been in an Ending Diagonal pattern and may correct very quickly to the beginning of it, around the $1600 level.
It looks like two alternative patterns are playing out: A final expanding ending diagonal in a 5th wave, and when diagonals do end, they target the beginning of the move very quickly. Or a B wave in a flat structure, which needs a C wave, and again, this will target the $3500 price. Both mean we will soon have an explosive ending and it will target the October...
I'm looking for a wave 4 pullback that will last several months. Then a final wave 5 taking the price to over $900. Under $600, then it would probably mean wave 5 has already completed.
I'm looking for a shorter term pullback, at least a 30% drop, in wave 1 of a final 5. Then the final wave moves should follow, over several years, to conclude at between the $300 & $560 price levels.
It looks like its in the heart of a 3rd wave in a bigger degree final 5th. It should be targeting the 85K level at the very least. The 100K seems more likely
It starting to look like 5 waves up from bottom , over 12 months ago.
It looks like 5 waves are now completing from the Jan 2023 truncated C wave low. Divergence in the RSI makes a long term top more likely as well.
It looks like we are left with two options in a bullish path. An impulse (In red) targeting the $2800 price. Or an Ending Diagonal (In black) targeting the $2300 price.
Possible Triangle in a B Wave correction. Then, maybe, setting up for a final C wave move up to $500 or more. Which would be followed by either, a final very quick 5 wave move back to 2015 low, or a more slower correction in a Y Wave back to similar levels.
If the Nasdaq fails around the pink region then it's very possible that primary Wave 3 completed in late 2021. It would need a (c) wave down to compete an A wave in a possible Flat structure. A move up after it completes, could even reach higher highs than 2021 before it gets a devastating C wave down A move under $8500 would be a great buy.
It's possible that it's approaching a significant top, around $1200 level, in an E Wave. This would be inside a B Wave triangle. It could take it down to around the $400 level.
A possible ending diagonal forming, which if correct, would mean a very fast move down towards the beginning of the digonal and would signal a long term top. Also there's lots of divergence on the rsi. This would mean excellent news for Gold and Emerging markets investors.
It looks like a possible ending diagonal which is completing a final 5th wave. This would signal a multi year bull market in the pound.
Big test for Gold coming up. Will the parallel channel hold ? Will the 38.2% level of Wave 4 Hold?
If it cannot find support soon and make another wave up to complete primary 3, then it' possible that Wave 3 competed in May. If so a trip down to $5586 or $1225 levels would be the prices to watch out for in Wave 4.
With Wave 3 not being very extended in the relation to Wave 1, it leaves the door open to extension in Wave 5.
Using Elliott Waves thurst measurements on this triangle would give a target of around 90.
Looking for a C wave to start soon, and the stochastic is looking over sold on both daily and weekly time frames.