🖼 Daily Technical Picture 📈 ➤ Well I did say a reversal in equity prices was imminent...and here we are 1 day later. VIX jumped higher. I have flipped my positions by 180°. ➤ We need to be cautious here. False short signals happen often in a strong up-trending market. Strong momentum can easily flip us back into a Bullish mode. We could also be just moving into...
🖼 Daily Technical Picture 📈 ➤ Price action for most of the equity indices are potentially close to price reversals. An exit signal was given for my long position in EUSTX50 (STOXX50) but not yet a short signal. ➤ For a short signal, I think we need to see a large down bar/candle. This down bar should at a minimum reverse the price gains on 23rd November to offer...
🖼 Daily Technical Picture 📈 ➤ On the eve of Thanksgiving, SPY broke out and closed above the recent high by the tiniest of margins. Long only investors will be happy. I'm guessing a few more Turkeys will make it to the dinner table. The sacrifice of the Turkey may be premature if the break out is not confirmed by further Bullish price action post the holiday....
🖼 Daily Technical Picture 📈 ➤ The sideways movement looks to be resolving to the upside. The SPY/SPX500 is looking to breach and stay above the psychologically important 400/4000 level. VIX has collapsed heading towards the 20 level. ➤ Commodity Trading Advisors (CTAs) or better known as Trend Followers are a group of institution traders/whales. They are...
🖼 Daily Technical Picture 📈 ➤ The sideways movement continues in equities. A Bullish bias still applies although my signals have weakened in its conviction. ➤ Choppy conditions are not ideal for my Strategy. Especially the kind where there is a tight range with high volatility (large up and down swings). This is because a large reversal against my entry will...
🖼 Daily Technical Picture 📈 ➤ Equity prices moved side-ways last week. This is good news for the Bulls. As prices have held within a tight range, there is so far no sign of a "Change of Character" or CHoCH. ➤ The CHoCH concept comes from Wyckoff analysis. It describes an abnormal price bar or set of price bars that moves against the recent price trend. A major...
🖼 Daily Technical Picture 📈 ➤ I'm sounding like a Psychologist today. Professional Traders do make use of Psychologists or Coaches to analyse and evaluate their performance as well as for counselling and self-reflection. We amateurs often just mumble to ourselves. ➤ S&P500 gapped lower at open before rebounding to finish near the daily highs. The strong support...
🖼 Daily Technical Picture 📈 ➤ ...sit out. In my humble opinion, the current short-term price action in equities are highly ambiguous. This often happens at key inflexion points when prices temporarily move sideways. Sometimes this is the market digesting recent moves e.g. the upward surge or the market is in search of direction awaiting some news or catalyst. ➤...
🖼 Daily Technical Picture 📈 ➤ I didn't change the title from yesterday's post for an obvious reason. The news about the "errant" missile landing in Poland. The first thing that comes to mind is "uncertainty". Uncertainty is not good for markets albeit this one may be short-lived. ➤ That being said, from a technical view point, markets bounced off the daily low...
🖼 Daily Technical Picture 📈 ➤ It was looking good for my Bullish position until the final hour of trading. Then things went sour. Prices reversed course. That Was Not Good. ➤ It was not good for two reasons: ➀ My fear of being taken out by choppy conditions has materialised. Exit signals were given. That meant I had to cut most of my positions at market close....
🖼 Daily Technical Picture 📈 ➤ Good Monday, we experienced some extraordinary market action last week. Beginning with the BTC/Crypto plunge and ended the week with a massive bullish move in equities. Not to be outdone was the sharp reversal in the USD. The USD reversal is a big deal. ➤ Equities extended the rally off the yearly lows accelerating past key...
🖼 Daily Technical Picture 📈 ➤ What an extraordinary day! The Bulls have run riot. The Bears have been crushed like myself. ➤ Price has charged through the top resistance level and looks unlikely to stop there with so much momentum. There's really not much more to be said. You can see the empty space till the next resistance level on the chart. ➤ The saviour for...
🖼 Daily Technical Picture 📈 ➤ I'm borrowing that quote from the TV Series Billions. The market is NOT UNCERTAIN that things are UNCERTAIN. There's one thing markets don't like and that is uncertainty. ➤ The results of the mid-term elections in the US are UNCERTAIN. I'm no political expert but if Republicans win the House and Democrats win the Senate or with some...
🖼 Daily Technical Picture 📈 ➤ DJIA, the blue chip equity index, continues to outpace all other US indices. It is quite remarkable. Never have I seen such outperformance. It is TELLING US something... ➤ I think the first signs of a longer bearish period is being shown by the price action. The recent move forming the higher low is looking laboured. It doesn't have...
🖼 Daily Technical Picture 📈 ➤ S&P500 was able to climb above the resistance/support level at the end of the days trade. This has set a higher low above the yearly low on 13th Oct. We now have the first set of higher highs and higher lows => an uptrend in the classical technical definition. 📈 ➤ While the Bulls may be rejoicing on such an occasion, we must note...
🖼 Daily Technical Picture 📈 ➤ Welcome to another week of snakes and ladders. Before we look at the technicals, I urge you to read my thought piece about The Paradigm Shift if you haven't done so. IMHO, this will alter the behaviour of markets going forward. A much more active approach rather than a passive buy and hold approach is required. ➤ Let's now look at...
🖼 Daily Technical Picture 📈 ➤ Price has reached the next level of support after sharp falls. Now we will see the real battle between the Bulls and the Bears. ➤ The Bullish case is quite simple. Price needs to be supported here to form a higher low. The classic definition of a bull trend is the formation of a set of higher highs and higher lows. ➤ The Bears have...
🖼 Daily Technical Picture 📈 ➤ If you ever doubted the effectiveness/importance of support and resistance levels/zones, I think that has been put to bed by today's price action in the S&P500 equity index. ➤ All you need is to look at the price action in the past few days. Price has tried valiantly on multiple occasions to overcome the resistance zone. Today saw...