mukit1

mukit1 Updated 

End of this year or early next year might be in for some kind of a shocker. If the current ending diagonal is true, then ES should not see 6300 at this point. Either the Fed or all this tariff talk may tank the market in the coming weeks. If we say the rules of alternation in play, then the wave 4 should be steep and quick. Wave 2 took 10 months and was choppy....

mukit1

Back in September, I was tracking BTC price action as a start of an ending diagonal pattern. The movement out of August low looked like a 3 waves pattern. Even though, it still looks like a 3 waves pattern, the breakout from early November is definitely no diagonal pattern. It is a clear wave 3 of some degree. I have been expecting BTC to hit 100k milestone, but I...

mukit1

Since the breakout from the $0.14 level, Doge has been on a rip. Right now, we are seeing the first pause on this run. A modest 23% draw down looks to be the reload area. But keep in mind that we have only seen a 3 waves sequence. Until a full 5 waves sequence is complete, there is always a chance of full retracement. So, it is imperative to put a stop loss to...

mukit1

TSLA right now looks pretty bullish, but the flip side is not totally gone. Bullish count (in purple): Assumes intermediate Y wave completed mid-October with a weird looking triangle and now the bullish price action is just the start of the Primary wave 5. So far, we only have a solid 3 waves to get started and the correction should not drop below $273.54. If we...

mukit1

The last cycle and current cycle are looking extremely similar. Price finally decided on a direction, and it has been a ripper so far. Overlaying the parabolic run from last cycle may give us some ideas. Will it play out exactly? No one knows. Will there be pullbacks along the way? you bet your behind. I am gearing up for BTFD and have accumulated a little bit...

mukit1

The recent price action makes the probability of wave 2 of primary degree complete. But, to be confident, we must see price breaking above 52 cents and then getting support above 40 cents. Otherwise, market can still play tricks on us and make this pump a wave c for another higher degree B wave and crush the bag holders hopes and dreams. But until 31 cents breaks,...

mukit1

RIOT pump along with overall crypto and general markets post-election, most likely completed full 5 waves sequence. There is a chance price can move a bit higher. Following this move, a correction is most likely get introduced by FOMC meeting. I will be waiting for a 3 waves move down to get back on this train for a larger wave 3 or C.

mukit1

ADA/Cardano and its forever sideways price action has led me to redo the count for the two yearslong bear market. Previously my assumption was that Oct 2023 was the termination of primary wave 2. However, the price action for an entire year since then has not been impulsive. It is possible that Primary degree 2 is done and this price action is another 1/2 on a...

mukit1

RIOT is at a spot where only a 3 waves sequence has completed. If abc move is the end of this sequence, then there is no reason for holding on at the moment. But in case a wave 5 is due, we might still be in for some good size gains. So, instead of completely getting out, I have taken profit at wave 3 and now have moved the stop loss up right below Thursday low....

mukit1

PLTR chart has been bullish for a while and the recent price action looks very much like a wave 3 of some degree. This made me rethink my previous count that I was tracking as an expanding ending diagonal for wave 5 of c of various degrees of wave 5s to complete intermediate wave 1. But that started to look a bit unrealistic. Wave 5 was getting bigger than the 2x...

mukit1

UPS august 2024 low looks to be the end of primary degree wave 2 of the cycle degree wave 3. The structure since then looks like a leading diagonal. That means, a sharp downward trend that we have seen today should take the price to retest the low again but should not break $123.25. But as long as price stays below $149, it will not be wise to jump on this freight...

mukit1

Is it the red count or blue count? That is the question. Previous analyses still hold. Still no trade zone inside the box range; but I will be seriously tempted if price comes back to blue count wave 2 area. I might dip my toe in with a stop loss below the box. Whatever the case, we might be going through the last bear leg before the big blowoff happens by Q1 next year.

mukit1

RIOT is chugging along since the low made in September. As BTC is holding major support areas, RIOT is getting the tailwind it needs to move forward. The price action looks bullish; but we have not seen a full 5 wave sequence. We need to see a few more higher highs and higher lows and get close or above $13 resistance level to have some kind of confidence that...

mukit1

NVDA resolved the symmetrical triangle pattern to the upside, making the triangle another wave 4. That means my count needs to shift right one more time, making the last triangle a minor degree wave. If that is the case, then the minor wave 5 is already in progress and most likely waves 1/2 are also complete with wave 3 starting. Targets to the upside would be...

mukit1

As long as Doge ranges between $0.14 and $0.08, it is a no trade for me. I got stopped out back in august and ever since, haven't found a good entry spot. Price action is choppy and corrective. Each pump or dump are being met with resistance. I need to see a break beyond the box and a complete sequence in direction to enter the market with some confidence. On the...

mukit1

Market has refused to fall in the past few weeks. Whatever Fed is doing is working in the short term. With US election around the corner, it is highly unlikely the market will make any drastic moves until the end of this year. Seasonality is also on the side of the bulls. Geopolitical headwinds have stalled the progress but couldn't turn the tide; for now. The...

mukit1

The price action for PINS since August of 2024 looks like a big 3 waves corrective move upward. This could be considered as the B wave if we see the big drop from June as the A wave correction. Since that correction was in 5 waves, it can be either the first part of a zigzag or wave 1. Now, one can argue that entire channel move from May of 2022 to June of 2024...

mukit1

RIOT has made into my very long-awaited target of $6.5 entry point and went beyond it by a little. This technically marks the end of intermediate degree wave 2. The move following the low has been steady but not extremely strong. For a wave 3, I would have liked to see a very strong and convincing V bottom recovery, but it has been a bit choppy. In the coming...