Two great examples happened this week on INDEX:ETHUSD and S&P 500 futures where price respected the Volume Profile level TWICE! This video is a tutorial on Volume Profile to demonstrate why it is a "cheat code" for finding GREAT LEVELS! I do not trail stops because when I put a trade on I want it to be at a Support/Resistance: I wan price to HOLD that level. ...
A textbook spike trade... that's why! Every morning the stock market open gives us opening volatility spikes on the first 30 minute bar. Most are noise but when that rare one comes along that fits my rules AND has multiple matching confluences... it's time to "Strike at the Spike!" This setup has going for it: At a 50% Retracement of the recent trend (from...
Late to the crypto bull run? Maybe not! Technical Analysis is not about predicting the future... it is about identifying opportunity. COINBASE:ETHUSD has been bullish for a few weeks and I've been patiently waiting for it to trigger a setup. I got what I was looking for on Tuesday of this week and it made for a great teachable moment combining my Spike...
INDEX:BTCUSD FAILED a breach of 100k! Now it has setup my Spike indicator perfectly for a 3:1 Reward/Risk back down to retest the prior ATH at 73811. I could not have asked for a better setup. I refused to short this rally... knowing better than to get in the path... waiting for a signal. That has now happened. This has been the most interesting Daily candle...
If you had spoken to me last week I would have given you my expert opinion that my expert opinion was going to be WRONG. I have been of the sentiment that Bitcoin was not going to break the ATH this year and return back to the ETF launch level of 43k. As price rose to test the 2024 ATH I was just as sure as the bagholders I would be proven wrong. That did not...
Even if you did not know anything was going on this week... NASDAQ:TSLA had an amazing long setup on Monday. I posted about it then and wanted to make a followup educational video because it was so amazing! It was a setup I HAD TO TAKE because it was all my rules come together! Traders need to know these individual components: Earnings Pullback Gap...
I missed this yesterday when it happened in the morning open. NASDAQ:TSLA did a spike at the 50% Retracement of the post earnings rally. Support is established... the stops know where to be. Looks like a good rallying point.
I want to give a video breakdown of my last Tradingview post which did very well as an Editor's Pick. Commentors posed some very good questions that deserve detailed explanations. First, I talk about the confluence of three major levels of Resistance that setup last week and remained the overhead Resistance of INDEX:BTCUSD Bitcoin this week (and possibly in...
Over the weekend Bitcoin INDEX:BTCUSD topped out at a level which has multiple confluences. In this post I will break them down one by one and talk about what happens next... Perhaps the most common level noted by commentators is the Trend Line/Expanding Wedge/Inverted Triangle. I personally do not put much faith in these lines or patterns. The reason I do...
This week The Fed lowered rates and everyone was "SURE" that this would lead to a huge market yeet in stocks and Bitcoin INDEX:BTCUSD ... but are we getting it? Price closed the week with an attempt to break higher on the S&P 500 futures CME_MINI:ES1! BUT closed BACK INSIDE the prior All Time High. THIS is a key sign of a potential reversal. In this video I...
In this video I teach by example from the past week usage of my Spike Alert indicator I share for free on Tradingview. Spikes are price reversals which can be great trading setups and everyone should at the very least be aware of them!
Let's take an honest look at Bitcoin in terms of price and fundamentals. Every day I see a new article about "ETF inflows" or "Historical parabolic coming" but yet price stubbornly refuses to break bullish. Often I read the comments on these articles and users ask pertinent questions such as, "if everything in the media is so bullish then why is price...
Been short INDEX:BTCUSD since April with AMEX:BITI (Proshares Bitcoin Short ETF). The media writes "reasons" that Bitcoin is down each day but real reason Bitcoin is down any day is the failure to confirm new ATH in April. I do somewhat lament my bearish bias because I missed a good long off 50% level in this liquidation but I'll go into why I remain bearish...
I have been traveling and enjoying the summer months, which typically are slow for trading, and have not traded this pullback but have gotten many questions for analysis as to "when will this stop ". #notfinancialadvice but I like the upcoming levels on AMEX:SPY in the 520 area. There are several levels of support creating confluence here: What I always...
I have been pointing out on my social media and Livestreams that Monero has been outperforming Bitcoin since April 2024. This inversion in the KRAKEN:XMRBTC cross pair is interesting in itself considering most cryptocurrencies remain in high correlation to Bitcoin INDEX:BTCUSD but there is more that can be inferred by this relationship. First, we will look...
Many Bitcoin traders believe that this was an isolated liquidation dip caused by "reasons" such as MtGox and Germany. This price movement is part of a broader picture (below) and while many hoped to see 60k recaptured this weekend it does not seem that will be the case. Futures markets will open in a few hours and last for the last two weeks the Sunday-Monday...
Of all cryptocurrencies I see Monero KRAKEN:XMRUSD differently as a good "store of value" which is private. That makes me a little looser with my trading guidelines for other assets. Monero has also proven difficult to trade in recent years... it has had some volatile swings but overall has broadly kept its value. The recent cryptocurrency downtrend, led by...
Bitcoin social media has shifted the narrative from YOLO 6-figure SOON(tm) to the June bear move being over to now accepting that this is a "healthy pullback." The bullish trend, which began in October 2023, officially ended June 24th with the confirmed cross of the Ichimoku cloud. See my videos and posts from last week for education. Bitcoin now sits today,...