ohueno

ohueno

We find a bottom every December, usually after the election if there was a downtrend we had a collapse, like 2018 and 2022, it wasn't the Presidential election but it was the US Midterm elections. So maybe we should expect a good October, but it's quite possible that right after the election around November 10 we could have a collapse. Maybe the market will react...

ohueno

I calculated the statistics of when the viola hits the bottom and starts to rise, and there are 5 places on the chart where each time the viola found the bottom between 5-15 December, so it is possible that this time it will work on these dates in December, because this is a common statistic and it has worked before. Perhaps the alto has already found the bottom,...

ohueno

You can see the same 3 month candles every cycle, they always end towards the end of the year, on the 1st of January the third 3 month candle will end, I expect that in December, maybe in January BTC will find a bottom, historically this has always been the case. Let's see how it will be this time.

ohueno

Firstly this is the SMA100, in 2019 we came to its retest, the bottom was at the end of the year. You may notice that the trend most often changes at the end of December - beginning of January, it was like that in 2015, 2019, 2020, 2023, honestly I think it will be like that this time, but I expect the beginning of the year to be very bullish.

ohueno

I think we are in the same place as in 2019 September, altcoins have not fallen to bitcoin anymore, in the near future altcoins will break the downtrend, and start their rise to bitcoin, but that doesn't mean there will be an alt season. Bitcoin is still as weak, and it may fall lower, but this is the best time to sell bitcoin into altcoins.

ohueno

TOTAL (timeframe 3 months). Before each bull market we had 3 red candles for 3 months, the current candle ends in October and the next one will be in January So far the 2 previous cycles have worked out, interestingly the timings are very much the same.

ohueno

I think bitcoin has not finished its fall, the worst month for bitcoin september is ahead, I don't know when it might happen, but from the chart usdt looks very bullish.

ohueno

If you want to buy altcoins before the rise, wait for the breakdown as it was in all past times, usually the breakdown was at the bottom.

ohueno

If you look at the trend line, this has worked the last 3 times, could it be that it will work the 4th time? I think so, it could mean that altcoins have bottomed out against bitcoin, but it doesn't mean they have bottomed out against the dollar.

ohueno

1. We have a downtrend with 3 touchdowns 2. We have constant squeezes, (blue arrows) where people think that this is the last fall and it will not go lower. 3. We have a slowing decline, and a breakout at the end of the year (December 2022) of the trendline Taking all these facts, there is a good chance we could repeat a similar scenario. In any case, for viola...

ohueno

You can see the trendline on the chart, which has worked out many times, I think that ETH has one last capitulation left to go before the uptrend. We need to get to 60% dominance before ETH starts to rise to BTC.

ohueno

It's simple, bitcoin repeats 2019-2020 before a huge move in '25. Spring of '25 will see the insane rise of altcoins and the fall of dominance. Be prepared to buy the bottom.

ohueno

If you look at the indicator that showed the best time to buy Alta, it's now saying it's capitalised at 125B. It may well go down there, but if we take 2021 we didn't get there a little bit. So 130-135B could be the bottom.

ohueno

chart of alts, if you throw in a similar scenario with a drop of 21, it is clear that it will not work out the same way, but draw a level. We are down at 151B cap on alts, let's assume that in 2 months it will drop further to 130-135B, where prices will still be -20-30% lower from yesterday's lows, there will be a better time to buy alts. That is around the...

ohueno

Altcoins will need consolidation before explosive growth in 2025, it will take time, this is a rough roadmap for altcoins.

ohueno

The possible roadmap for the bitcoin is exactly the same as my vision of bulls 2025, we will hang around now, and until the end of the year in accumulation, after which we will start to recover in the spring. Market bottom in Jan 25, there will be final consolidation around 44-46k. The end of the bull at the end of 25. I think that at the moment we have passed...