optionfarmers

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The US dollar is trending lower. Rates are expected to be lowered. Unemployment number rising. Presidential election has candidates talking about give aways. War is still happening. China is in deflation. Banks are seeing credit card delinquency's rise. There are 2 "technical" patterns implying a 40 ish silver price if we continue to break out. And...

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33 is the ceiling for now for silver. To reach the 2011, we need to see 100-120 per ounce to reflect the current money supply. 55-60 per ounce might seem like new highs, but its not when accounting for the money supply in existence now vs then in 2011. Significant percentage Dips below the 200 day moving averages are attractive over time. Taking partial...

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Future price of GRAB in 5 years could be $11-$22 if earnings keep rising. If we go into recession, the multiple on GRAB stock could fall since its trading 5x sales and near 40x cashflow. Risky stocks often fall to 2-3x sales or near 20x casfhflow, even if they have good growth prospects. Keep in mind that there is hot geo political tension that could create risk...

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Value stocks are companies with earnings yields twice the treasury yields and clean balance sheets. Growth stocks are companies that are growing earnings at a high rate. Upwork has a 10 forward PE for this current year 2024 and is expected to grow over the next 5 years at roughly 20% plus. It has more cash than debt on the balance sheet, making the stock price...

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Lyft gave out weak guidance, stock being punished. But over the next 5 years, Lyft is growing its earning power. Long term investors might want to keep this stock on the growers at reasonable value list. Lyft finally has gone profitable this year and looks to grow yearly at 20% plus. If we are going into recession this year or next, lyft could suffer, making the...

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Nvidia according to analysts earnings expectations could end up over 250 in the next 5 years or so. However, recent market volatility and increased economic weakness could cause profit taking in this popular growth stock. There is an old gap near 31-37 which occurred in may 2023, and with forward earnings of 2.71, this valuation would be a fair value for NVidia...

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Intel is definitely in trouble for this year in 2024. But dont get it wrong, America wants a domestic chip maker and will support this company with more grants and debt. Nvidia and AMD dont make their own chips, the design them and TSM makes them. With geopolitics hot, USA needs a home team foundry/chip factory. Over the next 5 years, analysts believe the...

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Snap could keep falling until support is found, and over the next 5 years plus could be worth over 100 dollars. Updated and current earnings expectations are show on the chart. As of now this year, snapchat is still expensive. It seems the economy is softening, so Snapchat could fall more. Analysts still expect snapchat to have growing earnings and high...

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3.44$ stock seems to be a deep value play. Tangible book is near at 1.85. Already earning .41 for 2023 and expected to earn .49 in 2024, IQ has a forward earnings yield of over 14%. In addition to low Price to earnings, the growth potential expected is over 20% to as 38%. Plotting out the growth to 2029 and using optimistic growth stock multiples, a stock like...

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Celsius could be worth 100 or more again in the next 5 years, and the lower it falls the greater the opportunity. Analysts expects CELH to earn 3.08 in 5 years. Using PE multiples of 20 and 40, Celsius could be worth 60 to 130 dollars. I could see a scenarios where the short term momentum bubble pops in Celsius and a sell off continues to find support lower...

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Crude Oil may be losing some of the geopolitical war premium. Signs of weakening economy may not be enough to keep oil uptrend. SP500 (blue line on chart) may also be lining up with the same potential drop in crude oil. Crude Oil 80-81 level is support, breaking that could imply a exention lower to near 75.

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Dow and Rusell2k have rallied back and may be finding seller supply at current levels. If prices go lower and fail to hold recent support, then an extension of the down move could be in play. The majority of the gains stocks have been from the ai and magnificent 7 stocks (nvidia, amazon, tesla, microsoft, apple, google, meta). These stacks are a larger...

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Canadian Solar bounce potential trade. Its oversold and potentially pricing alot of the potential risk, making it attractive for a trade. Fundamentally is attractive. Tangible book value is 38 ish while stock is under 15. They took one debt to build manufacturing facility, so debt is productive. 3.6b debt vs 1.94 cash. PE is under 5, but when we factor in debt...

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Copper has been in an uptrend since february 2024. Price is currently outside Bollinger bands (50 period). Some of the reasons copper has been rising is near term demand and shortages, some articles pointing out to data center demand for copper for the AI boom. With Nvidia, intc, amd and other tech stocks showing weakness in last week, my opinion is that it...

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Stocks to gold ratio had dropped weeks before the spx in dollars had turned. Was the gold buying a signal that safe haven collateral was in demand? In a panic, both stocks and gold can be sold as investors need more and more liquidity in falling markets. So gold is not necessarily an inverse asset to stock, keep this in mind. In most major sell offs, gold...

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Its taken a long time, but silver has finally shown life toward the upside. Bullish moves in silver have taken 8-10 years in the past to fully play out. If 2020 marks the beginning of the bullish move, then this move could last until 2030. Bullish head and shoulders pattern could target silver to the mid 30s level. If silver shows continued strength, then...

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Correlation for risk on assets will mean that if bitcoin keeps selling, its likely that the rest of tech could see profit taking. Fed rate Wednesday is expected to be no change in rates, but commentary could be a catalyst. Most indices are at or near breaking the 20 period moving average. Bitcoin is now below the 20 daily moving average, an indication of...

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Nvidia currently trading at 36 times sales and pricing in all the forward growth in earnings analysts can see. Many cheap stocks trade at 1-2 x sales, normal price to sales for growth stocks might be 5-10x sales. But 36 x times has a huge built in growth premium which makes holding these growth names risky. Its just like a premium on precious metals at the coin...