optionfarmers

optionfarmers

Lucid in the money calls at 2.00 seem worthwhile for the NASDAQ:LCID retracement. The biz is still showing neg earnings for now, so for now its just a option swing trade for me. looking for a 3x and out. In the money options here because there is much implied volatility and the rest are quite expensive.

optionfarmers

NASDAQ:CELH calls and call spreads are attractive. in small size. When a stock is deeply beat up, I like to use calls and then later convert to stock with less leverage. The upside potential is significant if celsius retraces after its large 75% stock fall. plan A- take a gain on the calls, 3x or more. plan b- roll to another month if takes longer. plan c-...

optionfarmers

Celsius was down over 70% from 100 dollars from the Pepsi deal hype. Stock is now fairly price for its expected potential growth rate. Roughly 1 x in pe for 1x the growth rate of assumed 25% year over year potentially, (forward pe used). Buying stocks for their growth rates typically can yield the growth rate as a return if the stock is priced fairly when the...

optionfarmers

Technical- seeing buying sign in volume and crossing significant moving averages. Deep Value- current below tangible book value, meaning there are more hard assets and cash on the books than the stock price reflects. Earnings power- stock loses money for a handful of year before it breaks even, but on a 10 year view it become profitable, giving an exit if...

optionfarmers

At one point, SMCi had under 10 pe, and was near tangible book value. The headlines were scary and bad, with possible delisting due to delayed financial reporting. With new auditor and plan to get back on track with reports, SMCi could be a bargain. However, because of the risk, sizing small would be wise. Deep Value Metrics: 1. high earning yield- was over...

optionfarmers

CELH celsius is down over 70% now. EPS expected for 2025 is 1.00 eps. at a 25 pe multiple, 2025 fair value could be 25.00. Stock is roughly at a fair price assuming it keeps its 25% annual growth over multiple years. Multiplying all expected EPS numbers by 25 pe multiple, table shows that stock should be worth 122 by 2033 with a possible 4.84 eps in the...

optionfarmers

Mobileye is fairly priced for 2025 expected earnings, at roughly 24 pe. The smoothed out growth rate for 5 years is around 30-40% annual for earnings. Analysts are expected something close to 2.87$ in earnings for 2029, and 3.77$ for 2030. What PE multiple should a fast growing software company trade at in the future? 20, 30 pe? maybe more? Either way MobilEye is...

optionfarmers

Going long a combination jan 2025 options spread and long stock. I am bullish the stock over the 5 year outlook at current prices. It could trade in a 6 to 14 range for a while before breaking out. 5 year out look price target could be 30-40 dollar stock at high multiple PE on stock. Company is a payments company in brazil. Earnings yield is very high, pe is...

optionfarmers

CSIQ may be weak in the short term, but the price leave plenty of potenial upside for a multiyear period. -deep below tangible book value. price under 20 now and tangible book value near 40. -2.87 eps next year '25 expected, and 10.00 potential over next 5 years on a under 20$ stock -62% ownership in CSI solar subsidiary which trades in china , offsets all or...

optionfarmers

IQ has been drowned and punished for a light q2 june earning report. seasonally/historically q2 has been the lightest quarter for past 3 years. the best quarters are toward the winter holidays. Current valuation is very attractive low PE, low price to sales. Balance sheet has some debt, so its not excessively cheap in the balance sheet. its all about the...

optionfarmers

Bidu has 20 billion in cash on balance sheet, and market cap is in the 30s. Pe is 7s. The are the google of china, and have robo taxi tech, Ai tech, and a joint venture with a top EV manufacturer Geely. Its in a down trend now, so buy stops above for anyone interested. Im going long calls for jan.

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Despite potential weakening demand as seen in crude oil complex, nat gas seems to be getting uptick in demand at these low prices. Falling rates weakening the dollar may benefit the international appeal of Liquid Natural Gas exports. Rising AI infrastructure demand may provide steady and increasing demand for the cheapest source of energy, which is likely nat...

optionfarmers

The US dollar is trending lower. Rates are expected to be lowered. Unemployment number rising. Presidential election has candidates talking about give aways. War is still happening. China is in deflation. Banks are seeing credit card delinquency's rise. There are 2 "technical" patterns implying a 40 ish silver price if we continue to break out. And...

optionfarmers

33 is the ceiling for now for silver. To reach the 2011, we need to see 100-120 per ounce to reflect the current money supply. 55-60 per ounce might seem like new highs, but its not when accounting for the money supply in existence now vs then in 2011. Significant percentage Dips below the 200 day moving averages are attractive over time. Taking partial...

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Future price of GRAB in 5 years could be $11-$22 if earnings keep rising. If we go into recession, the multiple on GRAB stock could fall since its trading 5x sales and near 40x cashflow. Risky stocks often fall to 2-3x sales or near 20x casfhflow, even if they have good growth prospects. Keep in mind that there is hot geo political tension that could create risk...

optionfarmers

Value stocks are companies with earnings yields twice the treasury yields and clean balance sheets. Growth stocks are companies that are growing earnings at a high rate. Upwork has a 10 forward PE for this current year 2024 and is expected to grow over the next 5 years at roughly 20% plus. It has more cash than debt on the balance sheet, making the stock price...

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Lyft gave out weak guidance, stock being punished. But over the next 5 years, Lyft is growing its earning power. Long term investors might want to keep this stock on the growers at reasonable value list. Lyft finally has gone profitable this year and looks to grow yearly at 20% plus. If we are going into recession this year or next, lyft could suffer, making the...

optionfarmers

Nvidia according to analysts earnings expectations could end up over 250 in the next 5 years or so. However, recent market volatility and increased economic weakness could cause profit taking in this popular growth stock. There is an old gap near 31-37 which occurred in may 2023, and with forward earnings of 2.71, this valuation would be a fair value for NVidia...