polymath_uk

polymath_uk

Trend analysis (see my other prior long term trend). Currently BTC is overvalued for this point in its long term cycle.

polymath_uk

Applying the trend of the past four years to today as a starting point for the next four years. During the past four years, BTC:USD rose x18 in a characteristic pattern beginning with a brief parabolic bull; a protracted bear; and another more leisurely parabolic bull run. I take this pattern and begin it again at the peak of the Dec 2017 using the same time...

polymath_uk

Exponential graph with curved trend lines starting and ending at multiple points in time all tend to predict a price of $7,500 by 2019-01-01, or a minimum price of that amount on that day. Trend lines all show a closing pattern that implies must come to an end on or about that date, except for the upper bound line which tends towards infinity. Therefore, the...