


Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Bitcoin - Sideways again but the first close above the flat daily 20ema and bulls will try to close the bear gap again. Can go both sides but shorts are slightly favored at the top of trading ranges. comment: Bulls keep buying the fn dip and we are making higher lows again. The bear gap to 64000 is open for now...
Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Indexes - All green, all good. Bulls want more climactic buying but have to settle with grinding it up. Bears are not building enough selling pressure to print consecutive bigger bear bars on higher time frames. Only look for longs until that changes. As of now, there is no reason not to expect much higher prices and...
Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Indexes - Got their expected pullback but indexes have still not touched even the 4h 20ema. Markets closed near their open which was near yesterdays close. Mostly. Since bears could not even print something than a bear doji, we can expect more sideways at the highs before we will probably get another breakout...
Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Indexes - Got their expected pullback but indexes have still not touched even the 4h 20ema. Markets closed near their open which was near yesterdays close. Mostly. Since bears could not even print something than a bear doji, we can expect more sideways at the highs before we will probably get another breakout...
Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Indexes - That reversal is something you will not witness often while you are alive. I don’t think there are many arguments beside’s “short squeeze” that could produce such a violent move but then again, who cares why. In my weekly outlook I wrote that I can only be neutral going into this week and all was looking...
Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Bear channel continued down and next target is probably 72 if 73.5 won’t hold. Pure weakness in this market. quote from my weekly update: bear case: Bears need a daily close below 74.5 to trade back down to 71/72. comment: Look at that beauty of a channel. Holding like a true champ. Market is much weaker...
Good Evening and I hope you are well. Quote from last week: comment: Bears were in a rush on Monday and printed a climactic bar down to 49111 but bulls bought the dip. As I am writing this, market is falling from 61000 to 58600 and going. Bears reversed it right at the daily 20ema and kept the bear gap to 64000 open, which is very strong by the bears. We are...
Good Evening and I hope you are well. Quote from last week: comment: Easy analysis. We are 4 points above last weeks close. We are in a triangle and exactly at the midpoint, again. Market is as neutral as it gets. Don’t make this more complicated than it needs to be. Either buy low and sell high inside given range or wait for a breakout. comment: Bulls...
Good Evening and I hope you are well. Quote from last week: comment: Market got to 5100 way faster than I expected but it was climactic selling and a pullback was expected. Not much difference in reasoning compared to dax and the same would apply to the nasdaq. Market is trying to find the big sellers again and we are probing higher. We will most likely hit...
Good Evening and I hope you are well. Quote from last week: comment : Above pretty much described exactly what happened last week and for now all my bearish targets are met. I still expect another test of the lows. These tests can be higher,lower or pretty much the same. You never ever know in advance and you have to trade it as it comes. After that retest we...
Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment What a time to be alive. Panic selling and now panic buying. Many markets are close to completely reversing the move from last week and Monday. For bulls to just slice through the bear trend line and every technical resistance there was, is something you will not see often on a daily chart. You can’t be anything but...
Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Gold - Insane price action tbh. Technically lower lows and lower highs but 40 points down and then 30 points up is also something special. I do think the 2519 highs can hold but it’s only reasonable to be neutral while the market oscillates that hard around 2500. comment: Neutral after today but market is still...
Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Bitcoin - Bears did it today and bulls will probably wait for 54000/55000 to start buying again. Should not go above 59000 before 54000/55000. From yesterday: One side will give up tomorrow. Promise. comment: Promise kept. I also wrote that 62000 is my line in the sand for the bears. We are now in a decent...
Good Evening and I hope you are well. sp500 e-mini futures comment: Also trading range price action since we closed 8 points above the open price, so many parallels to dax. Market is near the big bear trend line around 5500 and the big round number is the most obvious magnet currently. Market wants to get there desperately and a bit above for an easy liquidity...
Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Indexes - Another grind higher and most markets are at big round numbers and near their daily 20ema. Tomorrow one side will give and I have no opinion who will win this. I think it’s absolutely 50/50. dax futures comment: Expanding triangle nested inside the bull wedge right under 18000. Bears are in do or die mode...
Good Evening and I hope you are well tl;dr Bitcoin - Market is currently in balance 57500 - 62000. No more magic to it. We are in the 7th consecutive day where Bitcoin could not close above the daily 20ema. One side will give up tomorrow. comment: Last bull trend line is broken and market is moving sideways since last Thursday. Bears keeping it below...
Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Indexes - My bearish bias got obliterated today. While dax is still 100 points below the daily 20ema, sp500 and nasdaq closed above theirs. Overall much stronger buying than expected and what bears should have allowed imo. Maybe it was front running CPI or a solid short squeeze, it does not matter. All patterns...
Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Oil - Bears showed signs of life, rejecting 80 with decent selling. Still an inside bar to Monday and bulls bought it at the bull trend line. Below 78 bears start hoping again, but it’s more reasonable to expect more upside. At the very least a retest of 80 and if bears are strong, they try to keep that resistance. ...