


Good Evening and I hope you are well. Quote from last week: bull case: Bulls see the green support line and want to keep it support and keep the market above 2300/2320. They stalled the market long enough that not enough bears want to push their luck, selling the lows here. They also managed to print 2 bars above the daily ema, which makes the market more...
Good Evening and I hope you are well. sp500 e-mini futures Quote from last week: bull case: Bulls will probably retest the highs or even make a higher high soon. First pullbacks / low 1, is a buy signal in a bull trend. After that retest, I - again, have nothing for the bulls. We are at the peak of this bubble imo and that’s where you get cautious and not...
Good Evening and I hope you are well. Apple comment: Stock is trying to break above the bull channel that has been holding for 2 years. Many rejections above 208 but bulls keeping it above the trend line. Until bears can push this below 205, the daily ema and the bull trend line, bulls are in full control. Can you buy up here and hope for more upside? I would...
Good Day and I hope you are well. A quick one on #baba again Alibaba Quote from last post: " The stock found it's bottom and points upwards. Many tails around the 68/70 area below and big bull bars now appearing. The monthly 20ema will most likely be hit soon, where I expect a pull-back to then break above to the 100$ level again. China is printing again and...
Good Day and I hope you are well. dax cfd Quote from last week: comment: Sell vacuum theory was spot on. Bears printed 2 big good looking bars right to huge support and got no follow through. Bulls used it to trade back at least to the daily ema and 2/3 of the move. Huge price level around 18400/18450 with the ema. Bulls want above to test upper expanding...
Good Evening and I hope you are well. overall market comment Indexes - Bit Groundhogs Day much. Another small green day for the bulls and again, all markets stayed inside their ranges. Triangles live on. Atrocious to trade if you don’t like to scale in with wide stops. Markets are clearly in breakout mode and tomorrow could be the day imo. My base assumption...
Good Evening and I hope you are well. gold comment: Daily ema at 2346 and we closed 2339. Bulls can’t close above it and bears can’t break below 2300. Today was strong enough for bulls to try and get a second leg. Measured move is up to 2375ish. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 2300 - 2360 bull case: Bulls first target tomorrow is to stay...
Good Evening and I hope you are well. nasdaq e-mini futures comment: Bulls got their expected pullback but on the daily it’s an inside bar. We are in a trading range and the market is probing for the fair price currently. Bulls want back to the highs again and bears want a second leg down to test the big bull trend line 19500ish. I expect more sideways price...
Good Evening and I hope you are well. overall market comment Indexes - Pullbacks as expected. Markets are looking for the fair price and that’s why we get big down, big up. Slightly favoring the bulls to continue higher but just slightly. I wait for a breakout tomorrow. Bitcoin had a bullish day but look at the daily chart. It’s a small bull inside bar....
Good Evening and I hope you are well. wti crude oil comment: Trading range at the highs but bears printing bigger bars and they broke out of the bull channel that started 2 weeks ago. Measured move down would bring us to around the breakout retest price area 78.5 / 78.8. Bulls still want to break above 82 for 83/84 and test the bear trend lines again. current...
Good Evening and I hope you are well. sp500 e-mini futures comment: Expanding triangle on the 1h tf and that’s a form of a trading range. Big up, big down, big confusion, more sideways likely. 5530 is the most important price currently at about the middle of the range. Did the bears do enough damage today to expect follow through tomorrow? I don’t think so....
Good Evening and I hope you are well. overall market comment Indexes - No good news for the stock indexes. Dax and DJI closed green but dax ended US session still below the daily ema. Dow was rejected at the 40k mark, which was to be expected. Bulls will probably try that again tomorrow. SP500 and Nasdaq pulled back some more and bears finally closed a bear bar...
Good Evening and I hope you are well. gold futures Quote from last week: comment: Market stayed above 2300 and it’s time to reevaluate my take on this. The bear trend could very well be a two-legged move inside a trading range 2300-2477. So going forward I have clear invalidation points for both drawn outcomes. If bears keep it below the daily 20ema which is...
Good Evening and I hope you are well. wti crude oil futures Quote from last week: bull case: Strong week by the bulls with 3 pushes up but still a lower high. Their next target is to get back above 80.22. Right now they have momentum going but big down, big up mostly creates confusion and that means trading range. Above 79.5 I will probably long for 80. They...
Good Evening and I hope you are well. bitcoin Quote from last week: comment: Currently my favorite market to trade and comment on because I’m hittin dem swings big time. And because btc permabullz are entertaining and salty af. Market is clearly trading down again and they shout from the rooftops that we will print 80/100k soon. In all seriousness. Clear...
Good Day and I hope you are well. sp500 e-mini futures Quote from last week: bear case: What do the bears have going for them? Nothing and if anything, pure speculation and low probability stuff. The chart is showing multiple wedges, we are clearly in multiple third pushes up (W5) and volume is drying up. Once the institutions begin taking profits on the...
Good Evening and I hope you are well. dax cfd Quote from last week: bull case: Bulls see it as a small pullback and a sell vacuum on Friday to the big round support 18000. They want to create the same reversal as they did on 2024-04-19 with a 2% up day. The pullback in late March and April was 13 days long while we are in a 21 day long pullback. Bulls also...
Good Evening and I hope you are well. sp500 e-mini futures comment: Interesting trading day to say the least. Globex rallied 27 points to 5587 where it stalled for couple of hours and then before US opened the floodgates were opened. Just strong selling throughout the day with huge bull spikes in between. Bears accomplished a drop of 23 points from open to...