priceactiontds

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Nothing bearish happening, so max bullishness. I scalp long until it stops working because are obviously not. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 22500 - 23200 bull case: Bulls want 23100ish and keep going. Since no one is taking bigger profits and bears not doing anything, why would it stop? Scalp...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Last week my bearish take was wrong again and market moved closer to 23000 than below 22000. Until bears start closing gaps below and breaking bull trend lines, this is still max bullish, no matter the valuations. Still hard to buy the highs, given that we are trading either above or at the high of all of the ones...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Bulls got the higher high. Next stop is likely a new ath above 22450. Weekly candle closed at the very top and all dips were bought last week. Let’s see how high we can go now. Bears can only dream of going below 21800 again. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 20500 - 22100 bull case: 22k was support...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: No bigger opinion on this trading range. 70 holds, we chop until a bigger news event pushes us above 74. Below 70 we could flush to 69 and then 67. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 70 - 75 bull case: Bulls preventing meaningful lower lows but we have a clear bear trend line. Bulls are still favored...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Yeah I won’t make stuff up this week either. Range is the same and we saw some expansion last week but barely. Targets for both sides remain the same and if you don’t like trading ranges, stop reading here. I have no idea where the next breakout will happen but a slightly bearish bias due to this market going...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: As expected after yesterday’s cpi reversal, bears are not strong enough and bulls wanted a higher high badly. Now a new ath is much more likely than prices below 21800. Max bullishness would be if we stay above 22k but everything above 21900 is ok for the bulls. We have a decent channel on the 1h tf but it’s not...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: CPI was the gift to the bears and what was the perfect setup for continuous selling to the lows of this bigger trading range, became the ultimate bear trap. Bears now have only 2 daily bear bars during the past 8 trading days and today printed a really nasty reversal bar. We are still making lower highs but if bears...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: I do think the profit taking is around the corner but for now that does not help. Longs are paying, so join the bulls or wait for bigger bears to appear. No more bullish targets from me. 20k was a bubble but 22k is beyond everything. -30% would bring us to 15% and that was the beginning of this bull trend in...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: What did we learn today? Market is digesting any newsbombs quicker and quicker but we still have deep pull-backs. Today the volume was atrocious so I don’t think the bullish daily bar is all that important. If bulls get follow-through above 22000 tomorrow, I am clearly wrong and we test 22100 next and afterwards...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: I still think we will top out around 22000 but I also think we won’t go down for meaningful points before we have printed that price. We now have made 7 consecutive green weeks and the odds of a pull-back are far better than another strong move beyond 22000. I will decide on Monday on swing shorts for at least 21k...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: RUN IT AGAIN. Lower highs, higher lows. Body gaps above (small though) and big bull gap below 21200. Market is in balance around 21500 and I do think for now market will spend more time between the given key levels until bigger news change that fact. Play was selling Friday, big gap down Monday and then sideways to...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: 70 should be bigger support and I expect more sideways movement here. It is somewhat lower probability than bears continuing with the selling because bulls managed to go above the prior day’s bar exactly two times in the last 15 trading days. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 70 - 75 bull case: Bulls...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Yeah I won’t make shit up now. 4 consecutive daily doji bars around the middle of this triangle. Either fade the extremes or wait for the next big impulse. I still think that with all the ridiculous bullish crypto news over the past weeks, this has not printed 110k, is a big sign of weakness and the next impulse will...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Relentless selling on every rip. Bulls can’t catch a break and only a daily close above 75 will change that. Bears will likely get 70 tomorrow and then we will either see some bigger support or acceleration downwards. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 70 - 75 bull case: Well, some bulls are buying...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Strong bull trend from the open and I now have several measured moves that lead to 21800 and 22k. It would be surprising if bulls could not get it tomorrow or Friday. Can only get bearish again below 21550ish. current market cycle: bull trend until we get a daily close below 21550. key levels: 21400 - 22000 bull...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Gap is still open but bulls making higher lows. Can go both ways tomorrow and it will probably be another news-driven impulse. 50% retracement is 21560 on my chart and we are close to it, so don’t try to be clever and think you know which way the breakout will happen. Odds are even. Wait for it an hop along. current...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Higher highs and higher lows. Market have formed another bull wedge but until bears break below 21500 again, we can’t know for sure that we top out around 21700. Bears need something big tomorrow or we will likely reverse the complete sell-off and go above 22000 again. current market cycle: trading range key...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Bulls erased yesterday’s sell-off and bought around 90k as expected. We are in a trading range and right now we are also contracting again. Do not make more out of it than necessary. You buy low, sell high until the range is clearly broken. Neutral price is 95k - 102k. current market cycle: trading range key...