


Join me as i analyze the direction of the dollar, the stocks, bonds and commodities for the short term and long term
The ECB has raised the rates of the EUR from 0.25 to 2.00 within six months. This has been a major boost for the EUR, with their rates remaining the lowest among the major currencies, after the Yen ( -0.1).This gives the ECB more room for future hikes, and of course more upside for the EUR.
USDCNY - The dollar has been gaining against the yuan since March. This has weighed heavily on commodity currencies AUD and NZD, to which china is their biggest trading partner. Last week, china was set to release its quarterly GDP, but the announcement was postponed to next week due to the Chinese Communist Party general meeting held yesterday. That said, it is...
USDJPY - The market is bullish on the long term, but there is a possible minor pull back/reversal being signaled.
After the recent bullish move early this year, price has been consolidating/distribution on the slower timeframes. The market is clearly waiting for a significant item of fundamental news before we see a price waterfall.
On the H1 TF price is retesting the broken support.Time to sell
The dollar index has been buying for the last few months and now its at a critical psycological level on the monthly TF.Expect consilidation at this level for the next few weeks.The consolidation has already started on H4.
The DXY is at a critical level.On the faster timeframes,consolidation has already begun.If the DXY is to reverse,then it should consolidate at this level for the next few weeks so as to absorb the recent buying pressure.However,keep in mind that there is more room for growth as you can see on the monthly chart.There is an equal chance of a reversal or breakout.