Now bull's reserves have been activated and exhausted, the diagonal swing towards the new lows at the key 60 handle is the aim. This momentum play is a characteristic impulsive swing. The moves constitute a great example of the lust to exploit the brilliant effect of technical analysis, because of the accuracy that is endowed with incredible resilience. The...
For this exercise we are going to use PLNCZK as an example and allow a live swing to be setup. The banquet is over for bulls in this case after sellers capped the highs on three separate occasions each time driving the price out. Next came the spike down in thin markets, algos on the sell side helping itself to clean the board. But then came this breakdown...
The healthy retrace in Crypto markets clearly over. Crypto buyers leaping forward, this time rather than with that distinctive youthful arrogance and energetic flow we have a far more gentle and modest approach. To avoid any room for misunderstanding, we absolutely must dig deeper into the importance of flanking . In this position, note how sellers would be...
AUD and NZD will continue to trade tight ranges after mixed data from NZ overnight. 📊 Chart of the day 📊is going to NZDUSD: Market is clearly presenting another very good opportunity to cover 0.664/6x and initially target 0.660x. In AUDUSD same drill as before, tracking 0.692x for a similar move back towards 0.685x lows in the range. This idea is no less...
With a headline that Circle are looking at sanctioning customers with Poloniex accounts BTC is sent sharply higher above $7,500. As with most cryptos recently, the apathetically weak bulls are shaken off the headline as it quickly settles backdown before continuation from large hands. Shabby geopolitics and protectionism will continue to be met with a lacklustre...
We are going to dig deeper into the concept of the wave/swing and how to create a positional strategy from a strictly technical sense. After the latest test of 1.108/9x, which was so difficult for sellers with its positional issues, the next swing should appear "a piece of cake". I suspect this will lead you to ask whether imaginary protection is enough!? Be a...
![NZDUSD: ridethepig | NZD Price Dissection [Live]](https://s3.tradingview.com/w/WmSCXJ5v_mid.png "ridethepig | NZD Price Dissection [Live]")
As we approach the 0.660x handle it is time to take profits from our shorts, well done those following from the entire process from the previous diagrams: All of this is taking place while inside the Macro swing: The radius of our flows has been secure in a wide territory. This could also be considered a base formation in a sense of the word....
Eyes on the NY session here with Euro approaching the 1.108/9x lows, I will be actively buying today and sticking with the bullish view with targets located at 1.124/5x. You will see how large hands absorb all of the selling pressure and eat up late breakdown players expected an effortless momentum trade, whereas the reality is the strength of macro forces in...
The fruits of my forecasts stretching over the short-term range, will accompany you down this thorny path of range trading, but we cannot avoid consolidation, because only painful chop can help resolve ranges. The dynamic constraints of the flows are clearly defined jurisdictions on both sides (see diagram): The tendency towards advancing further is making...
Mixed data from NZ overnight with strong housing and weak retail sales. The soft sales was mostly expected so only minor spikes were available in NZD on the event risk flow as posted in the diagram here: As widely expected, NZDUSD presenting another very good opportunity to short 0.664/6x and initially target by covering 0.660x. In AUDUSD same drill as...
CHF a clear winner in the G10 space has been a finding strong bid via smart money smelling the markets strength of conviction in the SNB ability to intervene decreasing. Positioning is far from stretched, meaning there is plenty of room left on the boat. For those tracking the USDCHF flows 0.970x remains the key level to track: The technical picture is...
With retail sales out in NZ tonight it is a good time for a short-term flow update. It to me seems a poor choice of moment to advance for bulls, extending the lows after a retest of the 0.6645/60 sell zone with a weak print tonight makes more sense to me. This would be in accordance with the needs of the flow. The 2020 macro map takes on the retrace leg, but...
It is well known that all major Cryptos are breaking out and conducting very credible momentum flows with helpful sizings. One of the most important requisites of swing trading for those Crypto traders is the ability to squeeze your opponent with momentum breaks. The breakout is much more the game changer and should in no way be compared to stale bids from the...
A quick update here to dissect the possible motives behind the exchange and cast some light over the possible technical targets in the sequence. In order to dig deeper into the pursuit of position exchange, we shall in what follows highlight the occupation of zones for strategical importance and the apparent desire to exchange sides will fall into our lap like a...
After our previous entry, which was particularly difficult from a positional perspective, this update should appear 'all too easy'. It will likely raise the question as to why the ' Momentum ' break can really be considered an element in our definition of swings, because it is entirely plausible to build one's entire strategy around swings or waves, but around a...
With DXY sitting at resistance, I don’t see room for any further near term gains in Dollar. More importantly we are approaching key value levels for sellers from the last Q and large corporates have been spotted on the offer in USD. I have made the Dollar chart available and will publish it with al the more pleasure, since it is particularly interesting as we are...
BTC once again in the headlights with CME options launching 🚦. Has the Santa rally got more room to run, or is real money already comfortably positioned and happy to stand aside? The recent rally flushed a lot of late sellers out and I would be surprised to see the illiquid move lower seen in 2019 completely reinstated. Internal data here shows that clients have...
Ending the week with instructive profit taking from bulls in exemplary fashion....Average hourly earnings disappointing but nothing to write home about. Highlights in the report going to manufacturing jobs getting crushed via protectionism and those maintaining longs now have a free hand to play the next short-term swing. I love it when USD goes for a walk....
