A very similar example here in GBPUSD: Sellers surrendering control; buyers are seeking to restrict the flows with a very bullish close above 1.390x. Both sides are now locked and loaded; Sellers are so compacted from the five months of consolidation (securing a breach of the top of the range is what we are tracking here). After the Daily and Weekly close above...
The concept of a the basing formation compared to that of positional warfare, is rather interesting as we were essentially tracking a cone of volatility. This subtle break has done significant technical damage (i.e. attack on late sellers and correct use of support), and will often be rewarded with complete liberation. Here it would also be worth thinking...
📌 REGN pipeline (with particular focus on the early stages) CEMIPLIMAB, REGN3767, REGN1979, REGN4018, REGN5458, REGN5459, REGN5678, REGN5093, REGN5713-5714-5715 and REGN-COV2 all have a lot of potential with particular focus around oncology. As can be see with GILD, the covid positioning has already moved on a lot: we are ready to play chapter II and REGN...
With the 'surprising' threat on Dollar, it is rather easy to spot the flows here than one expects at first glance. The lust to expand in euro is perhaps the clearest of demonstrations of how things will follow for Pound and where the advance on this wing is not coming on the dollar side and those caught off-guard will be punished as we enter into summer months....
I am going long EURGBP at 86.00 with a stop loss at 85.20 and a target of 88.60 using 2% of capital. I have already articulated in both the latest chart packs that we are seeing pressure on USD and US10Y. This is a good example for us to use to highlight the slightly more cautious tone in GBP. This selloff looks like it has run out of steam around...
Wave 3 - Chapter I Introduction and general comments After clearing ECB & FED it is well known that hikes are cooking very creditably and the monetary side appears to be quite helpless in the endgame. The most well-handled analogy from poker is "checking the turn", both Powell and Lagarde showcased the ability to play this with skill. It may be in the nature...
A quick update to the Euro chart here after clearing the well known ECB positioning. This was the last thing we needed to mark a significant floor; anticipation of 1.176x (Strong Support) holding has clearly applied and for those building their own positions internally, protection is defined below March lows (1.168x) while targets above come into play at 1.217x...
This has been a superb ride since 2019. In terms of the review, let's consider the following parts: Altamira Gold Copper ↳ On the Altamira side... Apiacas is the rainmaker, for context, after five years of waiting they were awarded this massive land package in the largest producer area in the belt. According to very good sources they have at least...
📌 Copper for the Yearly Close First with an immediate review of the flows. We were tracking for the capitulation low which was our moment to advance... It was a great choice of moment to load the longs. Extending the belief in commodity shortages which have been entering into play all year long. The highs are worth striving for, all factors remain...
The concept of this complete or at least partially supported euro structure In this swing, there are three actors: 1 . the support which is acting as a pivot 2 . the opposing resistance which is being targeted 3 . the breakout trigger which will provide momentum The breakout here is attacking the soft resistance at 1.14 which is +/- 4% from current levels...
📌 @ridethepig G10 FX Market Commentary - CAD for the Yearly Close A very good time to update the CAD maps as we approach the key 1.27xx pivot areas. For six years this level has been relevant and has convinced me it cannot easily be done away with. Since the overwhelming pressure on USD remains, what we are talking about here is likely a flash crash of some...
📌 @ridethepig G10 FX Market Commentary - NZD for the Yearly Close Here we are tracking the weak points in the structure which are strategically important points in every map. They are usually protected and once broken and be rewarding with non-stop moves. The handle to track here is 0.74xx which is well placed and comes to undertaking other duties of preventing...
📌 ridethepig | TSLA on the Fairway An illustration of the consequences when surrendering the support and when your opponent grabs the break. It's trailing time for those who have been following the surrender. In order for us to execute more on the position I will want to see a final break of the temp lows, in order to somehow catch one final momentum play. ...
📌 ridethepig | Game, Set and Match! In order to inform ourselves about the dangers of this move, we shall in what follows point to a few live charts which we called live together from 2019 that the 2s5s was going to invert frantically , and was a bad sign. It enables occupation of the dominos, which for those following long enough will know the one thing...
📌 ridethepig | BTC High of the Quarter? A short iteration update here after the wild moves cleared the board and left a lot of confusion behind. The beauty of abstracting to volatility trading, or elasticity trading or trend following is that you take all of the noise in the inner waves out, and just trade time and probabilities . Well done...
📌 ridethepig | Variation of Flow & Profit Taking When in the much disputed variation of covering partial longs, we can look for some shorts to play the pullback towards +/- 48,000 of an incomplete (iv) in a 5-wave sequence. This point of view is based on a complete and understood notion in the concept of an underlying impulsive nature to the move. For this,...
📌 ridethepig | Silver Slingshot Attacking the highs several times • The protecting sellers get in each other's way! • How to maintain the momentum • The birth of fresh strength • Reassessment as an invalidation Since after: The move has been very promising, buyers should, as has been emphasised a few times, have played the momentum trigger. What is the...
📌 ridethepig | VIX Exploding Morning all... a short post, but one that is full of dramatic events. The 'discovered naked short' from wsb is a wildfire burning...the cleanest place to see the damage is in vol. This discovered vector in GME clarified the damaged relationship between central banks and market pricing while QE infinity provides a cover a 'risk...
