If FED will not disappoints market with a 50bps market pricing in rate cut, then some key levels are plotted that is due for corrections / retracement. Later all eyes will focus on Powell speech whether he will take an aggressive approach for November FOMC.
A quick recap on XAUUSD NFP day and possible scenario for Monday and Tuesday.
Adding Regression Trend clearly shows that overall move for Gold will be bearish for the week of November 27 - December 1 week.
Taken into consideration the calmer geopolitics tension, EOM rebalancing and a possible correction on USD - all of these contributing to possible bearish move for XAUUSD.
Considering the relatively muted weekend activity and the ongoing weakening of the USD, it's reasonable to anticipate a slight bearish correction for XAUUSD in the coming week. The absence of a significant weekend push and the prevailing market conditions suggest the potential for downward movement. However, it is essential to closely monitor any shifts in global...
The recent credit ratings downgrade on the USA and continuing geopolitical tension in the Middle East are factors that could potentially contribute to a bullish trend for gold in the coming week. Both of these events have historical correlations with an increase in demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Possible scenario for a dull data next week for US30, NAS100 and US500
Play until before the USD cash rate report. Seeing an upsurge on EU before the cash rate report.
Possible upside for EURUSD into 200 - 250 pips gains this week. Looking at current ECB stand, they need to make this week work as possible rate cut will further put them in a bigger dilema.
GOLD need this corrections that created a huge FVG. Likewise at above 2000 price level is a risky buy bias.
With consideration from previous POC of PVP (Periodic Volume Profile) and current price levels and heavy filled economic data next week for GBP, - this is how I see how GBPUSD will prolly play out. What do you think guys? Let me know your initial bias.
Key Levels is currently showing a quick short play for USDCHF