stelakis

stelakis

After a continuation triangle we have broken out to the upside from the slightly bullish triangle... All things remaining same, the probability of going higher is solid with a 3150ish target by year end...Those of you that find "Indexing" boring check out the leveraged ETFs on it.. Things should be rapidly better by the time we clear August, September.......

stelakis

There will be minor ups and downs but the uptrend is solid- I fully expect by September (after the sell in May and go away is behind us) to start marching up in a steady pace with lots of the geopoilitical and interest rate garbage behind us!! Happy trading everyone!!

stelakis

Ok... BTC seems to have found its groove in a trading range... long term that trading range can be considered a volatility squeeze. Volatility squeezes eventually burst into an upside or downside move. For now, its clear that dreaming of $100,000 per bitcoin was just that a dream, and while the range holds here you can trade by buying the bottom and selling the...

stelakis

Ok... SP500 ...kind of knew that didnt we? "Sell in May and go away" came a bit early this year.... :)...on top of that we have the execution of the generals, the market leaders, AMZN, FB, NFLX, GOOGLE etc... they are lined up on the firing squad one by one... as their momentum finally meets reality... Take AMZN for example: how much would you pay for a...

stelakis

Oh the SP 500 what can I say... moving to the winds of news like a candle in the air... BUT... this is where we are: at the level of Nov 2017... by Nov 2017 things were calm and advancing gently and steady... these group of investor did not jump in to make a quick buck...After Nov 2017 the get rich quick crowd joined and things started getting .... rich... :)...

stelakis

BTC (and all xxx-coins) is at the pre-mania levels of Nov 2017... yes, sorry young lads and lassies but you wont see BTC = $1,000,000 .... So now the level that needs to hold is the $6500 ... if it holds there should be a range for a while and then going down again.... if not we will reach the next bulk of investors that bought (and held) $4k levels (gee $15000 ...

stelakis

BTCUSD broke out of its downtrending channel only to start consolidating (going sideways). The double top formed indicates significant resistance above the 12000 level. At some time point I thought that BTC moves in parallel with the SP500 but finally the last couple of weeks these two have decoupled. My small position in BTC is here to stay for entertainment...

stelakis

Tried to break off its channel but stays "magnetized" by it -as most markets- until something happens. That something has not happened yet. A decisive move up will require a consolidation period. The longer the consolidation period the stronger the next move up or down will be.. We will see..I have a very small amount invested in BTC so I am mostly entertained...

stelakis

SPX looking good at this point... we are about to break above long term channel with next resistance at 2760. I expect the index to be close to 3200 by years end in the absence of "whatever". We have another couple of months to move up (historically) as we are approaching the weaker summer months by April- May. So I do expect a strong period till May 10 or...

stelakis

Again depending on your time frame... looking at the daily chart, BTC is still inside its downtrending channel. The V shape spike of the past year gives little information as to what can happen next... waiting to see....

stelakis

BTC is flirting with the top of its long term daily channel. There is some flimsy resistance at 9500 level. The rapid rise on the left leg does permit the definition of strong resistance other then the observation that Fib level is present just about there. In stocks and markets in general nobody cares if we are right or wrong so we shouldn't either. If it...

stelakis

No one can tell for sure, but the action today had the primary element of testing the 200 day Moving Average and at that level we saw the rebound for the day....Things are getting ridiculously inexpensive at this level. Bought some UPRO very very close to the 200 day MA and will nimble more as we move along. Waiting for the next weeks action. I fully expect...

stelakis

Here I draw the periods from 2014 to today. The uptrend channel dissociates from the previous period box - valid channel. We have clearly reach the point of the buying zone. Notice there is no support below the channel. Possible to go below the channel? Of course!!! However, this is where fundamentals come in to help us with the technical analysis. The low cost of...

stelakis

Funny... the analysis meter on this website has the indicator on SELL... ok... but here is the thing.. if you sell right now its too late...!! This is the time to buy.. gradually... Now, while the fundamentals of the market are beyond the scope of this "publication", here is where I think we stand from the chart analysis perspective. We retested today the 0.618...

stelakis

The emotions of the group of people that bought between 4000 and 7000 is about to be tested next. BTCUSD is inside a very strong downtrending channel... This group of investors may be more content or care less to sell as their losses are seemingly smaller (compared to those that bought at 12000 or higher and now cry bitterly) so it may take longer to go through...

stelakis

The reversal came this morning exactly (almost) at the cluster of 0.618 level. Hoping and bouncing etc brought us up to the cluster of 00.5 and 0.382. Retracement clusters have more validity of single clusters. With such strong fundamentals I would expect a continuation of the long term uptrend interrupted by the so called market volatility. I am definitely...

stelakis

So Friday came and then Monday came and we are going straight down. At this point we are back inside our channel, we have normalized(somewhat), but we want to know how low can we go before we have some support. The answer is we dont know but we can use Fibonacci retracements, and more specifically cluster retracement to see where we get these magic numbers. The...

stelakis

The model published previously predicted the next low around Jan 20th.. the complacency of the market, the constant euphoria and the absence of volatility fooled me too. While I was not 100% vested I too was much into the index (I trade UPRO) but as the chart shows we got our low- two-three weeks later!!! Moral of the story? wait -wait-wait patience is a...