Short Analysis on GDX/Gold in 3 bullet points; Series on Commodities and the 2020 outlook - 21st of December 19' Before I get into the analysis, wishing you all Happy holidays! Here's the simpler version of the chart: 1. Few key takeaways: Despite that the current resistance at ~31 is holding , the breakout in GDX is eminent . The question is of the timing ....
Update on Tesla since my last post ; Series on equities and the 2020 outlook - 26th of December 19' My last analysis(Ref #1) on Tesla, and what has changed so far? 1. As the Christmas rally unfolds, it has been a blessing to Tesla . From my last chart, obviously Tesla broke to new highs and my chart undershot with my conservative target of 344-365 . To be...
Analysis on Treasuries in 3 detailed bullet points ; Series on fixed income and the 2020 outlook - 21st of December 19' Before I get into the analysis, wishing you all Happy holidays! 1. What's the outlook for 2020? Compared to the summer of 2019, the recession fears have somewhat phased out. Nevertheless, weak global macros(PMI's, Growth) and the...
USD/CNY: Two detailed bullet points ; Series on Currencies(feedback's always welcomed) - 7th of December 2019 First of all, this chart is simply a guide on how to analyse Dollar:Renminbi as a trade war proxy. As there are many economic variations and possible outcomes for 2020 at this point in time, I will not give recommendations for this chart. These are...
My first 4x analysis on tview(aside from cryptos) and as always in great detail. To begin with, personally I've been looking into investing in gold/silver for some time now. This is just a daily, short-term t.a, which I will most likely follow it through with a more medium/long term analysis in the near future(which will most likely be in even a greater detail,...
Brief analysis on crude in 3 bullet points(chart will be updated continuously) ; Series on Commodities - 21st of November I do realize most people trade oil on daily frames. Oil prices heavily impact global growth, and this is the primary purpose of this chart. It's a necessity and it's essential to know the macro trend, even in trading. Before I get into the...
Just a short update to my previous idea. (Log charts are soo great) Analysis of the ECON data and the asset correlations with addition of the newest ECON data and earnings. Without a doubt the economy is slowing down (REF #1) . The fiscal stimulus of the rate cut is wearing off. This is not a debate, it's a fact. But we already knew this. Fiscal stimulus...
The Q3 earnings report was surprise to everyone, kudos to Musk and his team for a job well done . There are still some questions, but it seems that most of the fundamental issues that Tesla had since the start of the year, have been solved. ****Here are the key points from the Q3 earnings report and the revaluation with the addition of ESG factors:...
Keeping it short but precise, few fundamental bullet points on factors that will affect gold until the end of 2019: 1. Once US/China deal gets finalized, Gold should have a bearish consolidation to 1410, eventually to 1360 by the start of 2020. 2. GOLD is currently in a horizontal range due to two factors: Global monetary policy dovishness continues for...
TESLA(TSLA) Ahead of Q3 2019 Earnings and the Medium-term: Series on Equities #3 (12-15 Minutes read) Just as an intro, fyi this is probably one of the most complex and well-detailed charts that I've done so far. The chart is based on a multi-factor Tesla decision tree . I know that at first sight it looks very chaotic, but I'll try to explain it as...
Disney(DIS) : Series on Equities #2 (3-4 minutes read) This will be a short and simple T.A, just because it's Disney . Their ratios, products, management etc, speak for themselves and their fundamentals. I will just go through the technicals- most of the fundamental risks that aren't idiosyncratic to Disney are covered in my previous posts(Links #1&2) . Since...
FedEx(FDX) : Series on Equities (Extension to XLI post)- Sept 22nd (5 Minute Read) Since I do not post much about individual equities (maybe this will change in the future) , I will keep this post short and mostly technical . Nevertheless, some extremely significant fundamentals will be analysed . The purpose of this post is to analyse FedEx's performance...
US10y : Series on Bonds - Sept 20th 2019(7-8 minute read) For the past couple of month yield curves, particularly the 10 year vs the short term maturities have been a popular topic in the mainstream media, mostly because of the yield curve inversion . This analysis aims to provide a well detailed approach to some of the crucial factors regarding the US...
ZN1! : Series on Bonds - Sept 20th 2019(4-5 minute read) This is a two part analysis on the US 10 year Treasury note , the second part analyses the yield. In my opinion, technical analysis is somewhat (okay-ish) effective in analysing bond price action, especially to bonds with longer maturities. This is because they are priced in terms of private...
EURO|USD: Episode (1 )- Series: Major Currencies and Currency Indices -18th of August 2019 (8-9 Minute Read) 3 Contingencies upon which the timing of this analysis is based on: Brexit (Finally) Happening in the next 6 months , similarly expecting a US/China Trade deal in the same time-frame, and of course later on Trump winning 2020 . I have to...
FED INTEREST RATES( FRED ) - Extension(PART 2) to the US (SPX) Sectors Technical Analysis Series - 18th of August 2019 (9-10 Minute Read) Everyone complains about the FED rates. That's our only job, it seems . Judging by his tweets, no one has been more eager to express their dissatisfaction, than Pres. Trump (bit' of sarcasm) . This is Part 2 - of an ...
BTC|USD : Series Cryptocurrencies [ Part 1 ]- Aug 21st 2019(8-9 minute read) EDIT : The Fibonacci spirals always get distorted when posting. Check the last update for the correct Fibonacci Spirals setup. Truth being said, despite that I initially started with trading solely in bitcoin, I have not been actively analysing/trading bitcoin for the past couple...
VIX: Volatility Index - Extension to the US (SPX) Sectors Technical Analysis Series - 17th of August 2019 (9 Minute Read) As it can be observed from the chart, this is an extremely complex(Premium) volatility analysis . The purpose of this chart is to evaluate the probability and the timing of the next recession in the short to medium term. Now, let's...