stephan22
This time I have annotated the chart with my prediction highlighting the regions I will be paying attention to before checking lower timeframes for confluences in the chart confirming my theory and placing a trade.
Here we see key support and resistance levels indicated between 149 - 157. I predict a head & shoulders formation off the 157 line I have indicated that will lead to a bear move towards the 155 region. Eventually returning to test the 149 region.
TP - 1.05863 SL - 1.08960 RR - 3.69 Downward trend continuation confirmed on higher timeframe analysis. TP should be hit by Sept 31 / First week in October.
Currently ranging between 132.527 as a sub low range and 133.884 as a sub high. In general the higher timeframes indicate a downtrend. I have circled the double tops formed on the 1H timeframe because at Both these points we see a the bears pushing to break the resistance. I assume we will range in the channel I have indicated before proceeding through the zones...
a prediction of an upward channel movement to the previous area of resistance to TP1 (take profit target 1). TP2 realistically is what I would conservatively set to have a sensible RR (risk to reward ratio) of 2.32. depending on the strength of the bullish movement I would look at the TP2 zone and see if there is still momentum to push for zone 3.