The Inevitable Surge in Oil Prices Amid Middle East Conflict: The Iran-Israel Factor Introduction: Oil Prices and Middle East Geopolitical Tensions Regardless of economic trends in China, U.S. election outcomes, or broader political shifts, one critical factor dominates oil prices and inflation: the potential for a war in the Middle East that disrupts oil...
The Potential Surge in Oil Prices Amid Middle East Tensions Introduction: The Current Oil Market Landscape Oil prices have always been closely tied to both geopolitical tensions and broader economic trends. At present, the market is contending with a confluence of factors that could lead to a significant rise in prices. Most notably, the escalating conflict...
This chart compares FED rate cuts to SPX chart. The last 3 times after the first rate cuts there was a slight upward rally of the SP500 of about 5-10%, before going on a bearish retrace of about -40%, -50% & -20%, and then bottoming out only AFTER the final rate cut. Based on this, if history repeats, there might be a year end upward movement in the stock...
Using this formula: (FRED:M2SL+ECONOMICS:EUM2+ECONOMICS:JPM2+ECONOMICS:CNM2+ECONOMICS:INM2+ECONOMICS:GBM2+ECONOMICS:CAM2)/100000000000000 This formula includes US, EU, GB, CAN, JP, In & CN M2 money supply. You can clearly see M2 money supply seasonality changes, rounding consolidation from June1st & going up starting from October. Every time - for the last 5...