Target of 4600c was hit today. A +9.3% move in 2 sessions. For more research, including trade ideas, get in touch today. Original idea attached.
Previously recommended as a long in Sept 2021 at ~5300c, recently traded as high as 8775c. Has since retreated to the early R60's 'Near oversold' on both daily & weekly time frames. Trading at lower boundary of 200-day linear regression channel (2.5x). In addition, has retreated to horizontal support. Looking for base to develop at or around current levels...
Global Safe-Haven Index - Upward trend suggest risk on - Downward trend suggests risk off - The index now trading at the upper boundary of it's 200-day linear regression channel (2.5x mean) thus possibly looking stretched.
Rand-Oil Price - recently (04-July) I highlighted the Rand-Oil price trading in an overbought range per it's MONTHLY chart however with momentum slowing via it's WEEKLY and DAILY time frames. We have since seen the price decline by 8% while also breaching the incline support extending back to the lows of December 2021.
Quilter PLC QLT - Target Exceeded. Original idea attached. Having a strong day. Up as much as 18% this morning (currently +13%). Target exceeded. Bank/Take Profit. For more research, including trade ideas, get in touch today.
This remains one of the most important charts for traders and investors. Why is this chart relevant? In terms of rank and importance, the bond market takes precedence over all other asset classes. The price of money or interest rates is a key factor within global financial markets, where higher rates is a negative for equities (higher cost of borrowing) and which...
JSE Top 40 August Seasonality Data - 20 Years - AVERAGE PERFORMANCE is +0.80% AUG: In the past 20 Years, 12 August's have delivered a positive return. For more research, including trade ideas, get in touch today.
Sentiment among risk assets has steadily improved over the short term, driven by traders' expectations of a less aggressive U.S Federal Reserve in light of it's interest rate path i.e. 100bps vs the 75bps that was delivered. Even on the back of this increase, Fed Chair Jerome Powell acknowledged the 'unusually large' increase which has prompted traders to believe...
Exxaro Resources EXX: Possible buy/long trade on trigger. How I'm seeing it: The 19000c level was an important demand-supply zone. The share found support and has continued to develop a potential bull flag. May be continue consolidation in ultra short term however, trigger is breach of downward trend line. Provisional Levels: Current: 19863c Target:...
Over the short term, and on a technical basis, Anglo American Platinum ( JSE:AMS ) appears to be trading near a 'oversold' range vs Impala Platinum ( JSE:IMP ). On this basis, from a market neutral perspective, I consider a long (buy) position in AMS vs a short (sell) position in IMP. The two shares have a high historical correlation however the recent trend (...
USD/ZAR - As noted on Thursday, a weakening USD kept a cap on further upside on the pair with the candle structure and 'near overbought' position, suggesting the potential for a retracement. Also noted was the price being rejected at the upper boundary of the manually drawn parallel channel. The dominant trend remains up, with the price above a rising 21-day EMA...
Over a 7-year period, there have been 14 weeks (including last week) where the index returned more than 4.5%. The average return in the subsequent week is -0.07%. Largest decline was -3.06%. Largest gain was +4.34% 6 of the subsequent weeks saw a positive return, while 7 saw a negative return.
Market Neutral: Long JSE:SBK , Short JSE:ABG Over the long term (3 and 4 quarters), the correlation between JSE:SBK and JSE:ABG is high, with readings of 0.92 and 0.93 respectively. Over the short term (21 trading days or 1 month's worth of trading), the correction has developed a discrepancy, with the ratio dropping to 0.55 ( JSE:ABG outperforming ...