thefluffyones

thefluffyones

Based on price action history BTC may be looking at a $830k - $960k market top projection. However, if we get a shortened market cycle then the lower projection is $240k to $270k. You can see the likely short market top from FTX in Nov 2022 compared to the previous cycles tops shown with the yellow and pink lines. In the short term - - IMO Global M2 shows...

thefluffyones

In this analysis, we will compare the Global Liquidity Cycles with Bitcoin Cycles on the weekly timeframe. The top pane shows the Bitcoin weekly price, while the bottom panes showcases Global Liquidity and Bitcoin cycles. Bitcoin tops (the bottom pane) are highlighted in red with a level of 75+ and the bottoms are highlighted in green with a level of 15 or...

thefluffyones

In this idea we'll have a look at the history of BTCUSD on a daily timeframe using value maps based on-chain balanced price and market data. Additionally, we'll take a look at BTCUSD on a daily timeframe using market price value oscillator. The chart below shows a value map that takes into account the balanced BTC on-chain price and projects that onto a custom...

thefluffyones

In this idea we'll have a look global liquidity vs BTCUSD on a quarterly timeframe. The main pane contains the bars of a new global liquidity formula discovered by Twitter TechDev_52. On top of the bars is a solid orange line which is BTCUSD both on quarterly timeframe. Also on the main pane is a value grid for global liquidity which is based on time and global...

thefluffyones

BTCUSD Balanced Price (Tops & Bottoms) with Market Ribbon The gradient ribbon is calculated based on the BTCUSD market index factoring in time with bottom orange and maroon lines showcasing the market bottoms. On top of the ribbon is the adjusted balanced price (tops & bottoms) calculated from BTCUSD on-chain data. Below we have the same BTCUSD adjusted...

thefluffyones

This idea is from an experimental historic indicator I'm working on which uses market price history to display a new type of crypto ribbon. Found some interesting patterns that I thought a few investors may find interesting. 2021 Market Cycle Pattern 2017 Market Cycle Pattern 2013 Market Cycle Pattern 2011 Market Cycle Pattern Cheers!

thefluffyones

ETHUSD 20 Weekly EMA Now on Top ETHUSD Last 20 Weekly EMA on Top was June 2020 After June 2020 ETHUSD used the ETHUSD 15 Weekly as Support ETHUSD is now testing the upper BB and KC on Weekly ETHUSD is now testing the middle lower Green zone on Weekly from ETH Log Curve ETHUSD Weekly Support Resistance Levels If ETHUSD can break the $2028...

thefluffyones

In this quick idea we have a look at the total crypto market cap with BTC & ETH adjusted realized cap overlayed in the main pane. This chart uses both market and on-chain data. Total Crypto Market Cap: The red/green bars displayed BTC BTC Adjusted Realized Cap: The light gray line. BTC Adjusted Market Top Projection: The light red line. BTC...

thefluffyones

In this multi-timeframe chart we look at the current BTCUSD market cycle compared to the previous cycles using both on-chain and market data. On the main pane is BTCUSD on the weekly scale. On top of the price is a on-chain grid of the BTCUSD realized price multiplied. The solid silver bottom grid line is the BTCUSD realized price with the solid red line on top...

thefluffyones

In this multi-timeframe chart we look at the current ETHUSD market cycle compared to the previous cycles using both on-chain and market data. On the main pane is ETHUSD on the weekly scale. On top of the price is a on-chain grid of the ETHUSD realized price multiplied. The solid silver bottom grid line is the ETHUSD realized price with the solid red line on top...

thefluffyones

In this brief idea, I'd like to share how to describe BTCUSD cycles on the quarterly timeframe using two new indicators DB ZEMA and DB ZSP RSI. The settings for these indicators in this idea are both length 2, quarterly timeframe, and no repaint unchecked. Checking no-repaint produces a similar chart with no-repaint and values considered lock on bar OPEN. In...

thefluffyones Updated 

Are the BTC cycles revealed? In this weekly BTC chart we have a look at the history of BTC since 2012 from a large scale using a custom indicator that was designed to calculate price change over time that does not repaint. Market tops are highlighted with red vertical lines based on the bottom indicator showing cross over the light brown line over the dark...

thefluffyones

In this idea we'll be having a look at the Spring 2019 in comparison to Spring 2023. ETH 4 month timeframe showing similarities to May 2019 ETH 4 week timeframe zoomed ETH 4 week TTM Squeeze April 2019 vs April 2023 ETH 4 week DB VF Spring 2019 vs Spring 2023 ETH CCI on 2W, 3W, 4W, and Monthly Spring 2019 vs Spring 2023 Will we follow...

thefluffyones

ETHUSD TA ETH on 4W & 1M HTF started showing a sell signal around $1,590. Change in pressure has shifted downward on HTF. If downward pressure continues a reasonable down to the $1,400 - $1,500 range in the next 20 days is possible.

thefluffyones Updated 

ETH 2M timeframe currently has 10.5 days left, yet the period has yet to set a new high or a new low. Instead, it's showing a higher low and a lower high. The price has been coiling up like a spring ready to explode. The question is which direction will get in the short term according to the higher timeframes. Let's have a look at a few interesting charts. The...

thefluffyones Updated 

TA: ETH 12H has overcome the KC middle and is now in the upper KC channel. ETH 12H remains in a TTM Squeeze with price action very choppy on sub-12H timeframes indicating large pressure continues to build-up. Imagine a spring being compressed at both ends. Currently, at the time of publishing this idea, the TTM Squeeze histogram is showing upward momentum...

thefluffyones Updated 

TA: ETH 12H tested the KC middle twice in the last few bars with a lower high in the last bar. ETH 12H linear regression price channel shows a reasonable low today of $1,325 and a reasonable high today of $1,360. However, the bar just started and it's likely the price channel will shift lower. ETH 12H DB Vix Fix showing death cross indicating short-term...

thefluffyones

TA: ETH 12H continues to show upward momentum. If momentum continues, ETH will likely test the KC middle next at $1,350. ETH 12H Linear Regression Change Forecast is projecting a current possible high of $1,350 to $1,360. ETH 12H TTM Squeeze histogram remains lime with red dot indicating upward momentum with a TTM squeeze. The TTM Squeeze happens when...