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thessia_ Updated 

SPY has once again tested the ATH level, marking its third approach to this price zone and, once again, making a reversal candle. It feels like the market may be losing momentum, so I’ve decided to set up a bear put spread trade that would benefit from a potential decline within the next 42 days. All information is available on the chart.

thessia_ Updated 

I'm setting up a buy trigger for OM. Among the crypto assets I track, this one has shown remarkable resilience. During today's market drop, most assets pulled back to the 200-period moving average, with even major market cap leaders like ETH and BNB breaking well below this key support level intraday. In contrast, OM remained strong, with its deepest decline...

thessia_ Updated 

Bitcoin prices have been consolidating since December '25 (around 60 days) after multiple failed attempts to continue the uptrend (as indicated by the purple Xs on the chart). Even though I remain bullish on the asset in the long term, I decided to close all my cryptocurrency positions today and allocate 100% in dollars. From a technical perspective, a double-top...

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This is an analysis that I hope that it ages well, as I am starting a long term position in gold today and adding this asset to my investment portfolio. Therefore, this is not a post about an isolated trade, with a specific expiration date or focused on the short-term. In fact, from a trading point of view I have already lost some great entry opportunities,...

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By March '23 gold did a strong breakout near the 2000 quote. After that, the prices did not continue to flow and stucked inside a congestion at that level. At 04 May '23 the prices tried to overpass the previous top but failed. This failure gave us a doji candle, at the previous top, a very bearish signal, and besides that, it also gave us a double top formation....

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In this chart I point to main chart pattern in the SLB prices at this moment, that is the head and shoulders. Not only that, but the prices are doing a breakout of this pattern, that I indicate step-by-step at the purple text in the chart. I am also trying to take some advantage of this movement, and so I bought a very short term put option to try catch some...

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The 200-SMA of a weekly chart is probably the main indicator of a secular bull market. It's almost never breakdown, except if a crash happens, and then prices usually come back quickly to the uptrend. Or, the other situation, when an extended bear market begins, and in that case, prices will remain under this MA for a while and the battle around it lasts...

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This analysis shows what I am currently looking for in the market, regarding the S&P500 possible outcomes. Since my last post the bulls made a good job and prices reached the previous tops level, at a very strong resistance near 4200. But at such levels a small range is common and expected. I highlighted the zone between the orange lines, that was defined by...

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My main view on S&P500 is that we're in a main bearish trend, that has been fought by the bulls since October, 2022, when prices started going up. However, this insurgency has faced a good deal of resistance, resulting in unstable volume, and back and forth moves. Despite all of that, the secondary trend kept heading north. It can be summarized using technical...

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I'm updating my last reading on SPX about the beginning of a bearish leg. I understand that that previous signal has worked, and market failed to support the 200-SMA, although we're now facing a new test. My outlook remains the same, that the main trend is bearish, but I also believe that the path to the low may come along with counter-trend movements and...

thessia_ Updated 

Summary: Main bearish trend (dotted teal downtrend line) Reversal attempt in progress (purple uptrend line) 200-SMA breakout in jan-2023 Failure to continue the breakout (failed bull flag - orange lines) Arrow #3 as a good entry option for a bear trade. Possible beginning of a new bearish leg, aligned with the main trend Possibility to...