This is my time cycle analysis on the Hang Seng index. The index is basically dragging along its 30+ year channel bottom, approaching the trough of the green cycle between June-August of this year. This time region is highly likely to produce a tradable bottom, if not 'the' bottom. Unfortunately cycle trough timing zones only give us entry points for swings,...
In this video I do trend and cycle analysis on the Hang Seng index and explain my thoughts on why I think big opportunities are just around the corner. Note: my opinions, though supported by multiple levels of technical analysis, are still just my opinions and should not be taken as facts as there is no guarantee that what I think will happen will play out.
This is the third and final version of my NVDA projection for the rest of the year. In this version I am using a fib channel in log scale. This changes the shape of the price movement and thus the 161.8 fib line location. In this case NVDA could run as high as $400, which overshoots analyst price targets. That would be in true bubble fashion to do something...
This is my target analysis on NVDA assuming earnings do not crash the stock. This projection has approximately 345 being a shortable top, likely around June 2nd or that week. The downside target is still the 2023 runup gap around 225, but will take a few months to get there, and will likely move up from there into the end of the year. The target is based on...
This is a top/short region target on NVDA. This chart is based on the pattern, fib channels, an estimated retracement grid, and time cycles. This version 1 chart is if NVDA's earnings come in bad and cause the stock to dump sooner rather than later. The top end price would likely be between 320-326, and from there into approximately august it's possible to come...
time cycles + VP + stochastic intraday trading, part 2
Nothing interesting here. , some real time trading example of how I use volume profiles with a stochastic and time cycles for scalping intraday.
A short video introduction to basic time cycle analysis.
Time cycle analysis and ramblings for the chart of Apple (AAPL), and what I think shorting and buying TIME regions may be.
Disclaimer: My charts reflect my own analysis and opinions which could be wrong; do not take anything here as investment advice because it is not. I've been watching the Nifty and Sensex indices for a while, noticing their absolutely insane. Since 2004 the Nifty has run over 1200%. Even in the best scenarios, these moves eventually come to an end and have to...
**disclaimer: this post reflects my personal opinions from my own charting analysis and should not be used as financial advice of any kind. There are no guarantees in the market and I am just a guy on the internet*** This is a very brief analysis of XOM stock which is approaching a significant swing trading cycle trough (in blue) with a trough around February...
I would love to dive into more depth here, but I'd really have to start doing a consistent video series for that. I've been watching time cycles which I've charted on the vix and the SPX for a while and there's a very important region coming up near the end of January. Those unfamiliar with cycle analysis should go study it a bit as this post won't explain it...
This is my dissection of the TLT chart into the classic stages of a bubble, with time cycles. Each stage is present and the TLT appears to be in a bottoming process. I'm a big fan of using Fib channels combined with time cycles, because with fib channels, you are looking for a certain line to get hit, wherever that may be, as opposed to traditional fib...
Paypal stock appears to be in the final bottoming process of its bubble crash pattern. While I personally have not owned or traded this stock since July of 2022, the time cycles on the chart have not been changed since that time, and yet continue to show accuracy. The larger red cycle is a zone, and if the stock pulls back a bit just before earnings, I will be...
Longer term time cycle analysis on the bubble that is the S&P500, color coded with notes.
I'm in the camp that believes the S&P500 is in a megabubble. The pattern that has formed over the past 25 years is identical to most other bubbles with each feature being clearly defined. I'm a huge fan of cycle analysis and use it on shorter timeframes for trading. However here we are looking at a more macro level analysis using only large cycles. Cycles on...
This is a remake of a previous video about a very important chart pattern seen on every time frame - from multi decade rallies to intraday trading charts. Learning and identifying this pattern is important to avoid getting caught on the wrong end of a market cycle.
Some outlook on the S&P500 and some other general ramblings about the stock market longer term cycles and patterns.