Hi there. Price is forming a possible reversal pattern to change its direction. Wait for the price to complete the pattern and watch strong price action for buy.
NZD FUNDAMENTAL OUTLOOK: NEUTRAL BASELINE Over the past 12 months the NZD has been a tricky currency to pin down. Fundamentals that should have provided support haven’t, and the country’s lower terms of trade has made it the biggest loser among the high betas in the cyclical environment. However, over the last few weeks the NZD’s price action has been a...
AUD FUNDAMENTAL OUTLOOK: NEUTRAL BASELINE Ongoing issues with China’s economy remain a question mark for the AUD. As long as China’s potential for recovery remains uncertain, the path for the AUD remains the same. The RBA took another 25bsp hike at their previous meeting, sparking some speculation that the bank could be finalizing their hiking cycle sooner...
EUR FUNDAMENTAL OUTLOOK: WEAK BEARISH BASELINE HICP >9% saw another 75bsp hike this past week. ECB sources noted the bank is planning to discuss QT at their Dec meeting. On spread fragmentation, the bank didn’t provide any new info or clarity on how the eligibility might impact countries like Italy and Spain. Until the BTP/ Bund spread breaches 2.55%, markets...
NZD FUNDAMENTAL OUTLOOK: NEUTRAL BASELINE Over the past 12 months the NZD has been a tricky currency to pin down. Fundamentals that should have provided support haven’t, and the country’s lower terms of trade has made it the biggest loser among the high betas in the cyclical environment. However, over the last few weeks the NZD’s price action has been a...
AUD FUNDAMENTAL OUTLOOK: NEUTRAL BASELINE Ongoing issues with China’s economy remain a question mark for the AUD. As long as China’s potential for recovery remains uncertain, the path for the AUD remains the same. The RBA took another 25bsp hike at their previous meeting, sparking some speculation that the bank could be finalizing their hiking cycle sooner...
Hi there. Price is forming a possible reversal pattern to change its direction. Wait for the price to complete the pattern and watch strong price action for buy.
USD FUNDAMENTAL OUTLOOK: BULLISH BASELINE With headline CPI above 8% and Core CPI seeing another acceleration in the SEP CPI data, the Fed is under pressure to continue hiking rates and ramping up QT. At the NOV FOMC presser, Fed Chair Powell shattered any big hopes of a pivot and warned that their SEP expectations for the terminal rate will have to be...
Hi there. Price is forming a possible continuation pattern to the downside. Wait for the price to complete the pattern and watch strong price action for sell.
Hi there. Price is forming a possible reversal pattern to change its direction. Wait for the price to complete the pattern and watch strong price action for buy.
Hi there. Price is forming a possible continuation pattern to the downside. Wait for the price to complete the pattern and watch strong price action for sell.
AUD FUNDAMENTAL OUTLOOK: NEUTRAL BASELINE Ongoing issues with China’s economy remain a question mark for the AUD. As long as China’s potential for recovery remains uncertain, the path for the AUD remains the same. The RBA took another 25bsp hike at their previous meeting, sparking some speculation that the bank could be finalizing their hiking cycle sooner...
NZD FUNDAMENTAL OUTLOOK: NEUTRAL BASELINE Over the past 12 months the NZD has been a tricky currency to pin down. Fundamentals that should have provided support haven’t, and the country’s lower terms of trade has made it the biggest loser among the high betas in the cyclical environment. However, over the last few weeks the NZD’s price action has been a...
EUR FUNDAMENTAL OUTLOOK: WEAK BEARISH BASELINE HICP >9% saw another 75bsp hike this past week. ECB sources noted the bank is planning to discuss QT at their Dec meeting. On spread fragmentation, the bank didn’t provide any new info or clarity on how the eligibility might impact countries like Italy and Spain. Until the BTP/Bund spread breaches 2.55%,...
Hi there. Price is forming a possible reversal pattern to change its direction. Wait for the price to complete the pattern and watch strong price action for buy.
EUR FUNDAMENTAL OUTLOOK: WEAK BEARISH BASELINE HICP >9% saw another 75bsp hike this past week. ECB sources noted the bank is planning to discuss QT at their Dec meeting. On spread fragmentation, the bank didn’t provide any new info or clarity on how the eligibility might impact countries like Italy and Spain. Until the BTP/ Bund spread breaches 2.55%,...
USD FUNDAMENTAL OUTLOOK: BULLISH BASELINE With headline CPI above 8% and Core CPI seeing another acceleration in the SEP CPI data, the Fed is under pressure to continue hiking rates and ramping up QT. The Fed is on a data-dependent (meeting-by-meeting) policy stance, meaning incoming growth, inflation and jobs data remains a key driver for short-term USD...
Hi there. Price is forming a possible continuation pattern to the downside. Wait for the price to complete the pattern and watch strong price action for sell.