I am demonstrating how to calculate trend using a simple methodology that I call "Time at Mode". It is a simple, bar-by-bar analysis that logically deduces how to calculate the trend in a very mathematical way that can help you in your trading/investing/thinking/understanding about charts. The building blocks of an uptrend is a new high. If you don't see a...
The S&P500 has a pattern that is extremely interesting. I've devised an indicator I call Range-Movement, which I say Range-Move and shorten to RgMov on the chart below. It measures the way the market is moving and compares ranges to ranges, side-by-side. It also gives very interesting indications of TREND and sometimes more importantly it shows the level of...
At some point, everything has a price. Maybe now that GoPro is HALF-OFF, it might entice someone to step up to the plate here. At these prices, maybe a car manufacturer will buy it so they can put one in every vehicle, standard issue. It will lower insurance rates and make our roads safer, especially when everyone knows that their driving habits will be...
Despite the horrendous September for the stock market, INTC is making new 2-month highs. It is also tracing out a pattern that technicians love to see, it is called a Head & Shoulders pattern. The interesting point is that this bottom follows on the heels of a H&S top pattern that completed this past summer. Which one will win? The top pattern or the bottom...
It is in a triangle as it awaits its fate, likely to move up or down 5 points on the release and update on its forecast for the coming holiday season. Nike reported Sep 24 and the stock shot up sharply on strong growth in China. Perhaps UA will do what it seems to do best, follow NKE wherever it goes.... NKE went up so I think UA will go up. Simple...
We are 11 stocks into the 30 stock DJIA Components to report earnings this cycle. The exact KEY level is 17,413, but 174,000 is easier to remember. Since the last earnings reporting cycle, which averaged 17,643, we had the "margin liquidation - stop out" decline to 15,370, which was a 12.89% drop or 2274 points from the KEY EARNINGS LEVEL. What is the KEY...
Mysterious "Island Gap" bottoms in the S&P500 is a odd sign. It is a sign of overnight news driving major price moves. What I want to see is if the market can hold onto the gains since all of these basing patterns. I will be watching for what happens after the same amount of time here in the base expires. I measured 28 bars over 39 days (see the bottom of...
1. Overbought on CCI 2. Trend Indicator is in a downtrend using 2 month low in RgMov 3. Maximum volume level at $36.50 is maximum resistance here. 4. Large distribution zone could be in place if below $36.50 Time will tell. It looks like a good setup here. Sell short if down on the day only and more if below Friday's low. Tim 1:15PM Sunday 10/11/2015
Gold is building for a measured move to $1187 on XAUUSD. Gold "range expanded" out of the recent "mode" at 1135-1130, which triggered the first buy signal of a 10-day long potential rally to 1187. We are in DAY 3 here. The pullback today provides another entry to the mid-point of the "range expansion day" highlighted in "bright blue". The target on this...
Rally back to high volume resistance at 2.05. Also, 2.05 is the price level with the most TIME as well and is nearly a 100% rally from the low at the end of September. The CCI(11) is overbought, of course, since it just rallied 9 days from 1.07 to 2.076, a full 1.00 move. Risk 10% to 2.25 Target -20% to -25% to 1.60-1.50 Tim 10/9/2015 10:15AM EST
October 2015 Update: The magnitude of the decline still isn't that great here, as the trend turned down in September with HYG at a little over 91. It is down to 85.11 (and HYG has paid monthly dividends of roughly 40cents for 12 months now, so they are really at a small 1 point or a 1% loss right here). Still, when risk taking earns you a loss after 12 months,...
Apple has been acting a bit rotten lately. Why? Well, for starters, it didn't act so well on the release of its latest iPhone 6s when it gapped up and then closed down on the day. Technically speaking, that's a sign that buyers were already crowded in the stock and were ready to sell on the good news. That pattern is also called a "key reversal" which is a...
Abiomed is facing a liquidation and run for the hills by momentum investors who piled into ABMD shares on the gap-up and run higher back in August after an impressive earnings report. The liquidation is on news that one of the suppliers to the pacemaker industry cut back forecasts and it set off a stampede for the exits. Abiomed makes heart pumps but they don't...
Zillow and Trulia merged to form ZILLOW GROUP and now trades under the symbol Z. There are no charts published here at TradingView under the new Z symbol. A breakout to newhighs in this market condition are very bullish for Zillow Group. Buy pullbacks to this zone and target a retest of the high and use oversold readings of CCI(11) to buy and add on strength...
In this example I am showing you how the market remembers important price levels and how you want to trade around them. What I am showing you here is the levels where EARNINGS were reported. I have my own special way to graph that so you can see it easily without any trouble. You can see the "earnings" tab at the bottom of charts here at TradingView. If you...
Just a plain chart of AAPL. One is upside down. Which chart is bullish-looking to you? Does the bullish chart look equally bearish in the other chart? Or does the bearish chart look more bullish in the flipped chart? Do the colors of the bars (Bright Red versus Darker Red) change your opinion at all? Be aware of LONG or SHORT bias by inverting your...
Have you ever taken a chart and looked at it from the flip-side? Why would you do that? To avoid bias. There is a long bias and a short bias. We all have biases, but just need to confirm it by a simple test. Plot a chart of SYM and then plot the inverse of the chart next to it by using 100/SYM. You can make the numerator any size you want to get the price...
Take a look at these compelling charts to see that Dunkin' Donuts is leading the way for Starbucks. DNKN headed south after hitting a new high this summer and now sits 25% off of its high while SBUX sits very close to its high. Investors will get an earnings report on SBUX on October 29 which will give us some new clarity. DNKN reports on the 22nd of October,...