timwest

timwest Wizard

TREND TRADING WITH RGMOV AND CCI 1. BUYS = Watch for RgMov to make a 2-month high, then buy CCI readings of -100 followed by trading above, then closing above a previous day's high. Exit at 3 ATR rally or when CCI reaches +100 adding each 1 ATR advance. Stop = 3 ATR's OR if RgMov makes a 2-month low on a closing basis (2 months = 44 days) 2. SELLS = Watch...

timwest Wizard

There are many variables shown on this graph, the most important one is the fact that TSLA is at the lowest PSR (Price-to-Sales Ratio) going back to the summer of 2013 when it bottomed near 6 times sales. TSLA is now at 7.9 times sales and could very well be suffering from the new round of cars at the Geneva Auto Show where the Volkswagen Diesel Electric looks...

timwest Wizard

When I see a stock go from 2.6 times sales to 6.4 times sales while revenues have fallen from $21 billion to $16 billion, you can tell that investors are hoping for something big coming down the road. For now, I'll look for a trip down to the lower end of the rising regression channel. Risk - $64 or $65. Target $53-$54. Tim 4:25PM EST Feb 27, 2015

timwest Wizard

In order to make 10 times your money, sometimes you do have to risk 27% - 48% of your capital. Why? Because that is just what it takes to make a massive return on your capital. If you risk 50% to make 10 times your money, that is a 20:1 winning trade. Look at the times when AMZN fell to roughly 2 times sales and had you purchased back in 2005-2006 in the...

timwest Wizard

If you start your analysis of GBPUSD at the low in January and walk forward from there and watch the mode build higher and higher, you can get an idea of how accumulation occurs and then use that accumulation to project both time and price. Note how I have labeled all of the modes as the price has moved since the low and take note of how the largest time of 9,...

timwest Wizard

GLD touched KEY TREND SUPPORT that was labeled at 114.61 here. Let's look for a move up to the recent high at 125. As long as the recent low holds, there is a decent chance for a rally. If we get through 124 on this run, then look for a rally through the balance of 2015. Tim 8:05PM Wed, February 25, 2015 115.70 last GLD

timwest Wizard

I like LVS here now on the long side after many short-side trades over the past year. I think the pictures of rising revenues, rising margins, declining shares outstanding and a stock that is in the bottom end of its valuation range appears quite attractive. With a dividend yield in excess of 4% as well, it will attract yield hungry investors which will keep...

timwest Wizard

Graphing fundamentals is extremely important for an investor. You can see important levels that matter to other fundamental investors. The reason for GM's recent strength may be simply from falling crude oil prices and still low interest rates along with generous financing available for automobiles. Given the sharp drop in crude oil, I think the best days...

timwest Wizard

The current pullback in TLT brings it back by a similar amount as the last correction in October-November. Given that rates are far lower in Non-US Gov't bond markets, there may still be capital flowing out of foreign bond markets and searching for a higher return in US Gov't bond markets. I would continue to trade the TLT on the long side looking for a...

timwest Wizard

Republishing. Great place to trim positions, cut back exposure by selling long term covered calls here at the money. Downside risk back to the 62-60 area with upside roughly to the 72-78 zone. Tim

timwest Wizard

Here is a powerful way to view the Gold Market by way of GLD, the Gold ETF. Volume is one way to look at what levels are the most important and by logic, the areas where the MOST volume traded means most people remember that level and traded at that level. And if a level has ZERO VOLUME (low volume) it means everyone WANTED to trade there but only one side of...

timwest Wizard

I published the long term chart of the markets under the Fed Chairman back to McCabe in the late 1940's under Truman. With the power of TradingView tools, we can put together a visual display like this quite easily. Curious to see if this inspires any of you to find other patterns in the markets. It looks like markets were lower in 4 out of 5 instances (80%...

timwest Wizard

Do you see any patterns? I will always remember Alan Greenspan coming into office at the high of the market and the stock market crash of 40% in the following 3 months (2722 down to 1600 from August 25 to October 19, 1987). Bernanke had a quick burst up before the credit market meltdown in 2007-2009. Tim Feb 9, 2015 1:45AM EST

timwest Wizard

In the past three years I have published a forecast for the market for the entire year and this year I am putting myself on the line again for no benefit to myself other than to draw out what I foresee and to get your reactions. There is no way to disprove my forecast, so I will only be judged after the fact and even then it is just a best guess based on...

timwest Wizard

Time at Mode Methodology looked for a rally to the 1290 level last month, which it reached. Once the rally completed its target, I was able to see that the mode was really 9-weeks and it allowed for the market to have rallied to 1300+, which you can see here. Since there are 4-weeks left in the uptrend and this current decline looks to be just a correction...

timwest Wizard

Note how well BTCUSD set up an 8-day range and then launched out to confirm the short term accumulation. Since the peak in January, BTCUSD is sliding back down to retest the mode of the accumulation at the lows and it held the first time. See green arrows. Note also how even the volume distribution is here on the right side of the graph. If BTCUSD can hold...

timwest Wizard

If you start from the close of the day when the market had its Lowest High in the decline and look at the midpoint of that rally, it is right here. I like to buy pullbacks to the mid-point of a big range-expansion move up and that puts us at the entry level here. Target back to the highs and risk a drop to the 75% pullback level. Tim 1:25PM EST

timwest Wizard

Will alcohol sales reignite SBUX into a new, long term uptrend? Upside potential to repeat the rally that occurred into the start of the Cup&Handle consolidation/accumulation from 82-68. Dips to 82-81 are good buying opportunities. $5 stop loss from entry. Tim 87.26 last