tom.baor

tom.baor

Hi Guys, As Japan's economy emerges from a prolonged period of deflation, the landscape for trading the Japanese Yen (JPY) is undergoing a significant shift. With the Bank of Japan (BOJ) signaling a departure from its longstanding accommodative monetary policy. The anticipated rise in interest rates after over two decades is likely to strengthen the Ye As...

tom.baor

Price action is Almost all time high. Inflation may have been tamed in the U.S China is reopening.

tom.baor

Besides the "Sweet" spot, real estate and finance had better days.

tom.baor

"The U.S. stands out for its positive returns. Ten-year Treasury rates were at 2.16% on May 31, vs. -0.09% for Japan and -0.20% for German equivalents. The dollar has been taking away the mantle of safe haven thanks to interest-rate differentials. The flows into yen as a safe haven remains, but for us to see it go down to, say, 105, you’ll need to see a major...

tom.baor

USDSEK & EURSEK charts are forming a top formation, which is the end of the very extended downside trend for the SEK (483 days). Some kind of a mean reversion is expected towards the 9.22 area by Aug-Mid Sep. For more fundamental points I wish to recommend Torbjörn Isaksson analysis

tom.baor

Global energy demand has reached its periodical peak (Trade War). The next 3 months are ought to be in a range or downside, however, the upside is limited with the current fundamentals.

tom.baor

Technical perspective The first wave (24 of Dec 2018- 22 of April 2019 of the correction seems to be over, however, we might revisit 67$ area before going down. I suspect that we will reach the 60$ area within the next 60 days period. Structure-wise, the first "leg" (A wave) is opening the possibility for an extending structure, before the downtrend, or the...

tom.baor Updated 

Following the poor economic data, South Africa's enters a Recession. The TVC:ZA10Y looks bad, and we are due to get a 0.25bps increase to 6.75% or the Rand will be in a real free fall. The TVC:SA40 also looks like a sell setup. Contagion from Turkey and Argentina is also making this "Short" problematic, but for those who wish to sell a "carry trade" asset...

tom.baor

Good Bye Dear Facebook

tom.baor

TVC:DXY Trade with care.

tom.baor

Trade with care

tom.baor

Trade with care.

tom.baor

Trade with care.

tom.baor

Good R.R ratio. Selloff from the top doesn't always goes on the first attempt, so dont be discourage if the trade ends at a BE. What may trigger this pair to go down: 1) U.K Prime minister may fail to secure a good trade deal with the Eur zone, especially if she cant get a deal for the U.K financial industry to act in the Eur zone. 2) Aud may plunge down,...

tom.baor

This is the first attempt to sell from a relative top. Usually it takes 3 to 4 attempts to make a good entry from the top, so make sure that you only risk a small percentage of your account if you choose to mirror the trade. Trade with care or dont trade at all.

tom.baor

This trade has a decent R.R, but in order to get that "TRADE" you will need to be patience and wait for a few weeks (even a month). If we break the last bottom (0.94214) we may go all the one down to 0.91583. However, if we dont get any correction until we get to 0.91583, i will expect a strong reversal. Trade with care, or dont trade at all.

tom.baor

Trade with care

tom.baor

INFO-Short