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A Tolled Bell
SPX
, 1M
SPX: A Tolled Bell

The first bell has rung. A bridge is being paved across the $6000 range. IF it blows up, it likely won't happen until the bridge is constructed and sentiment improves. Expect a few heartfelt endeavors to shoot above $6,660. Base case is long term crab market.

Chips and Dip
NVDA
, 1M
Short
NVDA: Chips and Dip
Updated 

It's over. On the monthly. On the weekly. On the money flow.

Black Hole Sunshine
CNQ
, 1W
Long
CNQ: Black Hole Sunshine
Updated 

A surreal dreamscape, when spilled on water, can ignite under the right conditions, creating dramatic (but harmful) floating flames—an event that brings people back to reality. The oil patch is on the verge. With an oil to gold ratio near all time high, the watershed moment is close. Accumulate through the near term volatility.

E-cutie
EQT
, 1M
Long
EQT: E-cutie
Updated 

All year EQT, an unloved natural gas producer has been a swing trader's paradise. I've harvested so many gains from these E-cutie trees I thought I'd make a thread just for it and post trading updates. The macro technical picture is clear. Years of being battered by shorts ended with capitulation in 2020, followed by a swift rebound. Fundamentals are tightening....

Sailing
BTC
, 1M
Long
BTC: Sailing

27db97e52ec7b1b43e5391bb5861b8d4cf37d3a7c3a1a06d3aa0533382d52733 Bitcoin's conservative addressable share of speculative assets is 2%. The total market cap of the speculative portion of assets are as follows: Real Estate: $2.14 trillion Gold: $7.83 trillion Silver: $108 billion (0.108 trillion) Stock Market: $21.8 - $32.7 trillion (We'll consider the lower and...

Prepsi
PEP
, 1W
Long
PEP: Prepsi

Pepsi is challenged here. Recalls and the like have been headwinds in recent years, affecting revenue estimates. Buy here. Buy if it goes lower. Hold forever.

Sicker
TEM
, 1D
Long
TEM: Sicker
Updated 

The spirit of sickcare demands a shiney new AI body

Bitconacci
BTCUSD
, 1M
Long
BTCUSD: Bitconacci
Updated 

Some insights panned out, not all. Nevertheless, the red path was dead on top and bottom. Inebriated mania severed by a wyckoff top. The weight of the Monthly MACD momentum spike happened to tip price over, corroborated by price drifting underneath the 12 EMA. These were the signals. These signals are reversed now. Momentum is poised. 12 EMA...

Ashtray
NG1!
, 1M
Long
NG1!: Ashtray

From the bottom of a bull blood caked dish, a long draw ahead. Top producers: ARC Resources Cenovus Range Resources Baytex

SPX 666
SPX
, 1M
Long
SPX: SPX 666
Updated 

The S&P has proven itself a safe haven over the years and will likely continue doing so. There are a ton of reasons why the markets should collapse, nonetheless here we are rallying into the sunset. Taking a step back on the logarithmic scale we can see the pattern clearly. We are in the midst of a 3rd wave up with plenty of room to run... but where to? Near term...

Time Is Melting Up
SPX
, 1W
Long
SPX: Time Is Melting Up
Updated 

A decisive moment draws near as a familiar, but forgotten trend incredulously appears. Outlined in "S&squeezed" linked below, caution was appropriate until new highs were confirmed. Enough time has passed. The carcasses of blown accounts can serve as a launch pad to revisit the fib that was lost at 4500. This is now underway. Soon to find out which way...

Long Pilled
PFE
, 1M
Long
PFE: Long Pilled

Once-a-day obesity pill en route. Expect the share price to swell with the anticipation over the years, to the tune of 200%. Standard 1.618 long term extensions all but guaranteed.

Oil
OIL_CRUDE
, 1W
Long
OIL_CRUDE: Oil
Updated 

Here lies the sought edge. source: FASTgraphs The gray price band represents actual value with oil at current price up to $100+

Warning Shot
VNQ
, 1W
Short
VNQ: Warning Shot
Updated 

Based on the previous CoT report, asset managers are short the Real Estate index 9,247 contracts which is 1,184% more than their average in 2020, and 840% more than their average 2019 positioning. Large deviations in asset manager positioning are good indicators of sentiment and risk. For example, asset managers increased long positioning in the Energy sector...

Coppers and Robbers
COPPER
, 1W
Long
COPPER: Coppers and Robbers
Updated 

The current copper setup is a steal. Looking back we find copper price action is in a similar position to that of 2005. Overhead resistance above can give a rough estimate of a top should prices continue to break higher The weekly MACD is almost too perfect. Suspicious maybe. Nonetheless, support is $4.00 and only a sustained break below would arrest this...

The House
BTCUSD
, 1M
Short
BTCUSD: The House
Updated 

Bitcoin is a symbolic play against the House in a game of blackjack, hence the 21 million limit. The player soon finds the odds are stacked against him despite his enthusiasm Looking at the stack you find some things aside from the momentum indicators rolling over A. How euphoric does a market need to be to create laser eyes? 2. Or a president of a country...

Hares
NDX
, 1W
NDX: Hares

With elevated rates it's an unattractive path forward in lieu of a squeezed blow off. Real value in the gray band source: FASTgraphs

Tortoises
NTR
, 1W
Long
NTR: Tortoises

Gray is actual value and price targets excluding lean to plump dividends. source: FASTgraphs

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