Respect the long bars, so need to wait till at least this next bar completes. Though a small auto sell triggered at 382 of move down still in a bear market, btc up over 230% ytd, long way down yet... imo
i'd wait for a bit of confirmation, and buy a retrace downside target still 3800 to 3294
Check the chart, completed ab=cd, gartley sell, larger ab=cd down
In H M Gartleys book his golden rule was to buy the first AB=CD correction in a new trend. BTC made nice gartley here so it "has" to be bought if it fails will head down to form at least a butterfly at 1.1272
GOT TO RESPECT THE LONG BAR SO WILL LOOK AT THIS AREA FOR A SELL SIGNAL ON A SHORTER TIME FRAME
of all the major USD pairs this one appeals the most as it has time and fibs small risk - SL 30 pips
beautiful pattern, also at .618 of swing point
powered through .382 and not able to get a meaningful bounce. acceleration in both price and spread currently looks like BTC USD wants to go down further before a retrace. Extension of the 1-1 ABCD to 1.618 would bring it down to .618 area. Price action here may give a clue as to $4K and below or back up towards 10K. If the higher low gets busted then...
Profit target, the D point of AB=CD If i get an entry Monday will maybe update the TP and add points. If no entry will try on a retrace
Don't have to risk a lot here for a possible nice retrace down. Stop above 1.618 extension
Chart shows 2 relief rallies that have failed at .382, double topping on declining volume - 64 dollar question is will it repeat for 3rd time? If BTCUSD is around double top area on the 14th 15th or 16th April then I would be adding short. (time cycles). Conversely I'd be looking at a swing bottom around the 16th if we push lower Until then will look for short...
Lower lows and lower highs, trend still firmly down, unable to sustain any rally above .382 Potential entry that will allow adding to core short position. as we have 4 numbers converging .382 last move @ 8217 .5 from low (18th) @ 8208 1.272 @ 8217 AB=CD @ 8180 stop above 1.618 (8380) Target 1 - 7980 Stop to entry Target 2 - TDB Target 3 - 2460 RR high,...