Our Health Issue became a financial issue, which was apparent in the High Yield market, brought on by a lack of liquidity.
No panic is necessary. The fractals have a way of sorting everything out. Risk management is the only way.
This chart is a concoction of the Vix/10 minus the ten year note yield. With treasury yields scratching bottom we have to ask what is our money worth. Capital needs to be employed. With this Vol expansion there is opportunity throughout the term structure in SPX. The Fed is forcing us to play this game. Stay small, manage your risk, Good luck!.
USD chart looks dangerously explosive here despite Central banks intentions to stoke inflation (along their terms), deflation persists. The world is short dollars. I added a comparison of the USD/chinese Yuan ....above 6.82 is dangerous.
A 3.7 billion mkt cap company with a solid balance sheet and no earnings or cash flow to speak of, but this baby's value comes from its assets in the ground. The price action recently has been highly correlated with gold. Gold: "The only asset that isn't someone else's Liability"
Playing the break above, and not over staying my welcome if she can't hold.
Full disclosure: I don't believe I've ever seen this type of pattern on this large a scale before. If the broader market can keep itself intact, I am curious to see how this plays out.
I can't say I'm favorable on the broad market risk reward at these levels, but there are certainly some bright spots. Buyer stampede in this one after a respectable earnings report. To boot, potentially some infrastructure bill front running.
If price can recapture the green trend line it will indicate that sentiment is tilting toward the long side.
IPO's are the most sought after exit strategy because they are the most profitable. This is a redistribution of risk opportunity for the Owners & Venture Capital firms on to financial firms, and then on to retail investors. Remember! this business is sold. There is always opportunity, but today was not it for retail in LYFT.
Bears are going to try and make a stand at the Hot Gates! One day doesn't make a trend, but the Vix is playing along so far.
Price is slamming right into the underside of a 10 year log trend (pay no attention to that curious formation). It has taken a lot of ammo to get back to this point (Fed & Sentiment about face, and a Volatility Index below 15). Can earnings growth support these levels? And, if so, why is the 10 year yield where it is? Both Bonds and Stocks can not continue to...
Your return on investment in the SPX, in gold terms, struggles with performance compared to its old self. Yep, people like that shiny metal again!
Can central bank liquidity provision (or the talk there of) be enough to provide an incentive to reach for yield, or will credit spreads begin to widen (again). Stay tuned. From the this chart above it appears we are winding into a decision point.