xtrader1

xtrader1

- 2020: 1 Year of accumulating SHORTS, LONGS used to depress price - Q2-21: Distributing SHORTS while Accumulating LONGS - Take profit on SHORTS, use profits to to accumumate LONGS - Take some profits on LONGS to consolidate price - 2021: Accumulating LONGS (3 impulses) - 2022: Q2+Q3 = Mark up price, Q4 = Distributing LONGS - COT indicates that more LONGS need to...

xtrader1

- Institutional actions preceed price in past 2 years - COT is inverted to better show correlation between shorts and price - 2021 was consolidation phase where institutions accumulated shorts - First 9 months of 2022 was mark down phase - Driving price to a level where shorts could be distributed with a healthy profit - Last quarter of 2022 was profit-taking...

xtrader1

Volume Profile shows imbalance above 1.25 Also Weekly Supply-zone

xtrader1

- RSA W1: GBP strong, CHF weakening - COT: GBP buying longs AND selling shorts, CHF only selling shorts - LVL: PMH & PWH at 1.1540, CQH at 1.1570, levels approached but not yet purged - PP: MPP predicts MR2 = 1.1810 - TA: Price makes HH > HL since mid NOV - PTRN: W + 1st push completed - VOL: Volume preceeds price on H4, Price above QVWAP but BELOW MVWAP & WVWAP -...

xtrader1 Updated 

Looking for EURCHF to move higher to 1.00 and above Technically we see a Break of Market Structure (BMS) on the Daily Volume Delta is building positively

xtrader1

- Seasonally AUD is strong in DOC - Seasonally USD is weak in DEC - Institutions bought below 0.6250, looking for 1000 Pip Mark Up - Seasonal target is 0.7250 before USD gets strong again (in JAN) - Correlation: NZD is leading, AUD is lagging - COT confirms the move higher

xtrader1 Updated 

- RUSSEL back to 2000 - Seasonally Russel is strong in DEC - Seasonally Dollar is weak in DEC - W-pattern + 1st Push unfolded - Looking for stophunt high and low, then 2nd Push - 2nd Push is run from 1850 to 2000 = MPP to MR2 - Also Demand-zone and 2 Deviation of Channel - COT supportive of move higher, Dealers more short and less long

xtrader1

- After Climax Low GBPCHF is now in a Higher Timeframe Accumulation - Initial buying below 1.10 - Looking for a 1000 pip mark up to 1.20 to offset longs - Inermediate selling longs along the way - 200Fib Extension of recent drop is Previous Year Open = 1.20+ - COT favors GBP abovce CHF COT VISUAL: images2.imgbox.com

xtrader1

- Seasonally spoken NZD is supposed to be the strongest amongst the Majors - USD is supposed to weak in DEC - Seems like Institutions bought below 0.5750 - Looking for an offset 1000 pips higher above 0.6750 - 0.6250 = Previous Year Middle = Imbalance = GAP = Support - Volume preceeds price on the Daily - COT shows Asset Managers accumulationg longs and...

xtrader1

- Seasonally spoken NZD is supposed to be the strongest amongst the Majors - USD is supposed to weak in DEC - Seems like Institutions bought below 0.5750 - Looking for an offset 1000 pips higher above 0.6750 - 0.6250 = Previous Year Middle = Imbalance = GAP = Support - Volume preceeds price on the Daily - COT shows Asset Managers accumulationg longs and...

xtrader1

- Seasonal: S&P is supposed to be strong in DEC - Seasonal: USD is supposed to be weak in DEC - Pattern: Q4 created a W + 1st push, 2nd push is to be expected after stophunt - Technical: Bullish break of Market Structure on the Daily in OCT - Efficiency: D1 overlapping Gaps + Imbalances offer support around 3900 and 4000 - S&D: Weekly Supply-zone at 4500 with...

xtrader1

- Seasonally CNH is strong in DEC + JAN - Seasonally USD is weak in DEC - Technically a Wyckoff distribution seems to unfold - A last upthrust / stophunt could happen but not likely - Looking for a 1 deviation drop = sellside liquidity-zone

xtrader1

Looking for higher prices in Crude Price cap talk, Diesel shortage and OPEC+ cuts all hint on higer prices

xtrader1

- Seasonally MXN is strong in NOC/DEC - Seasonally USD is weak in DEC - COT supports this outlook - Asset Managers + Leveraged Money accumulating Longs - Leveraged Money also distributing Shorts - Looking for a drop from DEC Pivot to DEC S2 - Higher Timeframe objective is Weekly Bullish Orderblock at 18.80 COT: images2.imgbox.com

xtrader1

- Seasonally EUR is strong in DEC - Seasonally USD is weak in DEC - COT-data supports higher prices - Looking for a run from DEC Pivot to DEC R1 = 1.0750

xtrader1

Seasonally Gold is strong in DEC Seasonally USD is weak in DEC GOLD Speculators COT-data supports this outlook Speculators accumulating longs while distributing shorts Looking for a run from DEC PP to DEC R1 = 2022 Yearly Open COT: images2.imgbox.com

xtrader1

Looking for a weakening Dollar in DEC Seasoanlly Dollar is weaker end of year Run from Monthly Pivot to Monthly S2

xtrader1

- Looking for US5Y-Yield to move above DEC Monthly Pivot - Followed by a drop to DEC S1 = GAP - Dollar-Index should follow Yield and weaken after 1st week of DEC