EUR/USD is rising despite a falling 10Y yield differential, signaling a divergence from typical rate-driven behavior. This move is likely fueled by expectations of Fed rate cuts due to soft U.S. economic data, a recovering Eurozone trade surplus, and broader macro flows like de-dollarization and geopolitical tensions. Tariff risks and speculative positioning are...
The USD/JPY pair's recent decline to 147.88 reflects an emerging shift in yield dynamics, with the US 10-year Treasury at 4.20% against Japan's approximate 1.10% yield. While this 310 basis point differential historically supported dollar strength, markets are now pricing in potential Fed rate cuts against speculation of BOJ policy normalization, narrowing the...
Watching GBPUSD closely at the 1.2970 level where we're seeing significant resistance. The high-volume node at 1.293 on the VRVP indicator suggests this is a key battleground.
Key observations:
- EURUSD vs GBPUSD divergence (unusual strength in GBP)
- Early MACD bearish signals on daily
- Price testing major liquidity zone (1.293-1.297)
From a fundamental...
Sitting at a critical zone. Big money clustering around current levels, VRVP showing strong interest. MACD hinting at trend shift. 1.078 is the key resistance - break it, and we're looking at a nice move up. Rejection, and we might see another leg down.
Trading Plan:
1 Watch 1.078 closely
2 Bullish above, bearish below
3 Look for confirmation
i'll update that...
Looking at the USDCAD chart, we've seen interesting price action that I believe presents a trading opportunity.
The significant breakout on February 3rd pushed price above the 1.44 level with strong momentum. This wasn't random - it coincided with increasing tariff speculation, as trade policy uncertainty typically impacts the USD-CAD relationship substantially...
The USD/CAD is sitting at a critical support level in its rectangular trading range. The VRVP (Volume-Weighted Average Price) shows strong institutional interest right here, and the COT reports suggest leveraged traders aren't aggressively buying USD. This points to a potential bounce or consolidation zone. The daily chart and hourly timeframe are both showing...
