I explain in this video my choice on breaking down the waves into sub-waves and suggests the alternative which will always give us a wave 3 down. For 2nd alternate count, where our main and 1st secondary count is wrong, I suggest that the current correction might drags out before wave 3 resumes.
We have completed wave 3 and today we are selling wave 4. But it's not over. I believe that wave 4 is going to be shallow and what this means is that price will move up in pre-market, and cash will open up and mark wave 4. Then prices will start coming down for wave 5.
Alibaba is at a price point and wave structure where it could be either a potential strong reversal or a crash. If i have to call a side, I am more bias short because I think global equities are ripe for (short) harvesting. The stop loss that I put in this idea shows that I am cautious about being wrong, but as you can see, it is not at any obvious resistance,...
The words in the charts are Chinese characters because I've used the screenshot of the chart to provide my view to Chinese investors. Essentially, this means chart shows a strong wave 1 up, then now we should be going into a C wave of Wave 2.
Firstly, apologies for the audio. I am using a new setup and it seems like somehow the microphone suddenly goes lower volume. In this video, I discussed about the wave structure that forms in NVDA for the last wave and it seems to me that it is going to be a weak sub-wave 5 because sub-wave 4 retraces to the top of sub-wave 1. My preferred target is $150.03, but...
This is a follow up to the same idea that I've recently posted. The reason is the same: top of channel rejection, and Elliott Waves completion.
From the chart, you can see that I've closed the corrective wave structure W-X-Y-X-Z within 2 trendlines. Now that we are at the top trendline, it is time for turning point.
Oil looks like it will not be able to hold above the trendline and may breakdown soon. Sometimes, the simpler the idea, the better it will work out. Good luck!
Just hours ago, I published a super bullish case for China and HK market that I quickly updated to be closed out due to stop. Now with the breakdown, the Hang Seng Index has turned super bearish. It's not what I want to see, but it is what it is.
There are 3 things to see here: 1. An expanding triangle that is labeled as a corrective wave 2 in triple combination: W-X-Y-X-Z, 2. 2 right angle triangles, one at the top and one at the bottom. The top one is larger than the bottom one. This means that the support at the bottom is stronger than the resistance at the top. From here, it should be a super bull.
Over here you can see that I've given a super bullish case for China A50/CSI300. I've also fully labeled the down move and subsequent up move. This is a super bullish case for China. This analysis also goes beyond TA. I've a Douyin account (China equivalent of TikTok) and I can tell you that right now, all the biggest influencers are pushing for a super bull...
From my previous analysis on 1st Oct saying that Gold is taking a break, it did a sideway correction for the next 6 trading sessions before pushing up again. That was a "neutral" call. Now, I see that Gold is reaching wave 3 target of $2801, meaning there should be a meaningful enough wave 4 correction to go short or at least lighten your longs. There is a...
I've previously tried an idea to short Bitcoin around $76k and it doesn't work out well. Now, what's the next point we can try? Based on Fibonacci extension, the number is $80,500.
Based on the upper trend line and wave counts, I believe that SPX has finally reached it's peak (again). Note that I've also previously called for peak that turns out to be just sub-wave peaks instead of ultimate peak. That is, right in the short-term, wrong in the long-term. This is another attempt to call a long-term turning point.
I have previously made a bearish case for NVDA that was invalidated as of the last session. Now that NVDA has hit a new high, we need to revert to a more "normal" way of counting our waves. Over here, I presented the case where the minimum target price is 156 and the next target is 174. So, do not hold onto your shorts.
This is the projection on where Nikkei will hit it's wave 2 peak. We are around 100 points away from the target. Get ready.
Please see the updated wave count on Bitcoin. This is a short opportunity to short it near the top.
The new high made during this election day has made me change the count. A reader of my post did comment and share a link on this new count which I did have in a couple of my posts, but I have to admit a mistake as a mistake and a bias as a bias. Now that S&P has made a new high, we must have a new target. Based on Elliott Wave, there IS A MAXIMUM target of...