As explained in the video, I have 3 hits that suggests that we have hit the peak for Nasdaq: 1. Hit previous high made on 20th March 2025. 2. Fibonacci Extension where wave 5 = 1.618x Wave 1. 3. Entire wave e = 2.618x Wave 1. Important here is the stop loss of around 19978. This is a positional play, meaning to ride this position if it goes in our favor. Good luck!
In my 18th March 2025 idea on Hang Seng Index, I said that an ending diagonal has formed for HSI and to prepare to short (linked in this idea). I also reiterate that it will be a sharp move down because that's what proceeds from an ending diagonal. Hang Seng Index had falled almost 1400 points since then. So what now? I believe that it is still a short because...
Take note that there is a rule breach in this analysis where wave IV is in the price zone of wave I. Aside from that, I have drawn a 5 waves overlapping each other for wave 5 thus expecting an ending diagonal. The target of $5.22 is from the convergence of 2 Fibonacci extensions. Also, it is near to the resistance trendline. Thus the stop loss is placed above the...
I see a 5-wave structure in Cocoa with the last wave as a potential ending diagonal.
Where to short AAPL? I think the red line price of $219.71 is a strong resistance because it is the price where there were 2 previous lows (first 2 red arrows pointing up). Take note that there is a chance that the recent low point is the end of the entire correction if that is a wave C. My Primary count that it is just wave 1 of C is a BIAS. Just keep that in...
In my previous video, I mentioned that I expected 4th wave to have completed. However, the latest wave structure made me reconsider that I may be too early yet again. Thus, I SHIFTED the e wave of wave 4. In this idea, you can see that I also drew a parallel channel. The purpose of which is to give an approximation on where the wave 4 will actually end before...
This is a long video where I reviewed indices, mostly tech stocks, Bitcoin, Oil, and Gold. In summary, I think that we are in a bear market now.
As mentioned in this video, I have a primary count that states that Gold has completed the entire wave 3 (see link video for cycle wave counts), and my alternate count is that the 5th wave is not completed BUT sub-wave3 is completed and we are going into wave 4. Both primary and alternate points to a short opportunity. The stop loss will be recent high (around 3058).
As mentioned in the video, I still think that this is a short. If I am wrong, I also explain how I would set the stop loss. Remember that an ending diagonal will see a quick fall in the price when a breakdown happens. Good luck!
This is based on descending triangles being bearish setup. So I would think that there are 2 entry points: 1. When it touches the upper trendline, or better yet, 2. When it breaks down from the lower trendline.
While I've been putting up shorts for Nasdaq, Meta, Google, and Amzn, I just realized that I did not do it for AAPL. So here's the wave counts update. While the direction is down, it does not mean to short it now because this wave 3 down is now approximately equals to wave 1 (around $40). An extension of 1.618 will give us another $24 down move but I CANNOT be...
In summary, I think that there is a good odds that Nasdaq will rebound in the short-term because it has bounced off a 2-year trendline and RSI has diverged with price. Using QQQ to gauge volume, I can also see that there is a healthy volume to support a reversal. However, take note that as of now, I will still consider this to be a corrective wave up and not a...
If you have seen my previous posts on Hang Seng or the China/HK market, you will know that I am a long-term bull and sometimes short-term bear on the Chinese markets. So, this post is really against my personal bias that the China/HK markets are long-term bull because if the wave counts are correct, the recent move up are but triple combinations corrective up...
A simple short idea only because of a break in the longer-term trendline. Nothing sophisticated.
As shown in the chart, there is a break of a trendline and it is a significant break.
This is the video explanation of the same idea that I've just published. Basically, while I do think that Gold will hit $3000, I don't think it is worth it to hold on anymore as the money can be redeployed better since the next wave is going to be a wave 4.
I've been calling for Gold long for the longest time and also called for short-term pull back at the end of wave 3 of 3. Now that we have finished wave 3 of 5 of 3, it is time to take a step back and wait for better prices to enter for the final leg of wave 3. Or simply, just get out of Gold because the next move will anyway be a wave 4. Wave 4s are usually the...
This is not exactly a short idea for 2 reasons: 1. It is not that easy to short a Singapore stock, and 2. Singapore stocks don't really follow Elliott Waves principles because the stock market don't herd. So this is really saying: 1. Now is not the time to buy. Wait for better prices. 2. Lighten up if you are not an investor but more of a speculator/trader. Take...