Please note that the last 20 seconds of this video is me trying to figure out which tab is my recording on in order to stop the video (LOL). Anyway, this is an update to HSI and that I expect it to fall even more this coming week. I expect the trendline to break and move down to ultimate target of 15000-15100 over the next 2 weeks.
This is gonna be a bold call. I think SPX will fall by more than 100 points in a single trading session (that is, today). See my chart for stop loss and take profit.
Firstly, apologies for coughing around the 8th min (too much chocolate). Basically this analysis builds on top of the HSI and China A50 analysis that I've done previously and that I expect Tencent to move down to $246 and hits the lower channel line as well as 1x of wave (1) distance by 2023 year end.
I expect BYD to fall to $166.8 given the following: 1. Price fall before trendline cut = price fall after trendline cut 2. Fibonacci extension level of wave 5 (of C) = 1.618 of wave 1 (of C).
This is just a potential bearish count where the movement up is considered a corrective wave. However, due to the strength of the impulse moves up, I will recommend that if you short, put a tight stop.
This is a quick update on NK225. I think this wave up is a wave C of 2 and thus it cannot be sustained.
If there is one type of stock that will never see recovery to all time high, SE's chart will be one of the top candidates. Also, given that the stock has not seen recovery even though the entire US market was in the year of asset bubble, it can only mean that when the general market comes down, so will SE. Using a very basic measurement rule, if SE breaks $35, I...
This is my detailed analysis of AAPL and it is a strong Sell for the following reasons: 1. End of multiple wave 5s. 2. Triple Fibonacci targets reached. 3. Wave 4 as a triangle confirmed the 1 year move up as the last wave.
Well, based on my EW counts and Fibonacci extension, we have reached the target of the move up and it's time for it to go down. Also note that the new high is NOT accompanied by an equivalent RSI(7) high. A divergence. Also, this is all-time high. You need any reason for a better risk reward?
In Summary: 1. We see 5 waves up and wave1=wave5, and it doesn't matter if it is a 1-2-3-4-5 or a W-X-Y-X-Z. The next move should be down. 2. RSI(7) crosses 88 and based on 3 other historical instances of similar preceding pattern, the next move should be down. 3. The risk-reward is better on the short side than the long side.
This is a short update to HSI. I will expect that the burst up today is a corrective wave 4 and for the next 2 weeks, a correction down to 15000.
My previous analysis of the Hang Seng Index was invalidated. And now I've done a revamp of the wave counts for 2023. This is the summary: 1. Hang Seng will continue to fall either till Christmas or EOY. 2. Target support, or end of correction, will be 14980-15100. Look out for this support zone.
To summarize: 1. We are currently in the 5th wave down. The last wave. 2. Potentially a sharp drop for the last 2 weeks of Dec 2023. 3. Price might follow the same pattern as Dec 2018. 4. Target 10130-10145.
In this analysis, I talk about how I used Elliott Waves to count the moves of Hang Seng Index from Jan 2018 to 24th Nov 2023. The main points to take note are these: 1. The corrective move down in 2023 is over. 2. We are still in a minor corrective move down. 3. But a wave 3 up is round the corner and that it will be an explosive one. 4. The risk is low for this...
A quick update to the HSI Elliott Wave counts that could potentially signal the end of the entire down move.
Clearly seen on this chart is the cup and handle that lasted for 12 years and now we are going into a wave 3 of 3.
As explained in the video, I explained how I break down the TSLA stock prices into Elliott Waves and why I am bullish on this stock. I also explained why the alternate bearish counts are unlikely.