This is based on descending triangles being bearish setup. So I would think that there are 2 entry points: 1. When it touches the upper trendline, or better yet, 2. When it breaks down from the lower trendline.
While I've been putting up shorts for Nasdaq, Meta, Google, and Amzn, I just realized that I did not do it for AAPL. So here's the wave counts update. While the direction is down, it does not mean to short it now because this wave 3 down is now approximately equals to wave 1 (around $40). An extension of 1.618 will give us another $24 down move but I CANNOT be...
In summary, I think that there is a good odds that Nasdaq will rebound in the short-term because it has bounced off a 2-year trendline and RSI has diverged with price. Using QQQ to gauge volume, I can also see that there is a healthy volume to support a reversal. However, take note that as of now, I will still consider this to be a corrective wave up and not a...
If you have seen my previous posts on Hang Seng or the China/HK market, you will know that I am a long-term bull and sometimes short-term bear on the Chinese markets. So, this post is really against my personal bias that the China/HK markets are long-term bull because if the wave counts are correct, the recent move up are but triple combinations corrective up...
A simple short idea only because of a break in the longer-term trendline. Nothing sophisticated.
As shown in the chart, there is a break of a trendline and it is a significant break.
This is the video explanation of the same idea that I've just published. Basically, while I do think that Gold will hit $3000, I don't think it is worth it to hold on anymore as the money can be redeployed better since the next wave is going to be a wave 4.
I've been calling for Gold long for the longest time and also called for short-term pull back at the end of wave 3 of 3. Now that we have finished wave 3 of 5 of 3, it is time to take a step back and wait for better prices to enter for the final leg of wave 3. Or simply, just get out of Gold because the next move will anyway be a wave 4. Wave 4s are usually the...
This is not exactly a short idea for 2 reasons: 1. It is not that easy to short a Singapore stock, and 2. Singapore stocks don't really follow Elliott Waves principles because the stock market don't herd. So this is really saying: 1. Now is not the time to buy. Wait for better prices. 2. Lighten up if you are not an investor but more of a speculator/trader. Take...
I've explained in this video why I think Meta has peaked. Here's the summary: 1. Completion of 5 waves. 2. Fibonacci Extension level hit (target: $725.76, actual: $725.01, diff: $0.75) 3. Bearish Reversal candle with high enough volume (I missed mentioning this in the video) This is a good risk-reward trade with Stop at $726 and take profit at $550. Good luck!
This is an update to my previous idea where I mentioned that MSFT will move up in a wave 2 and then come down to a wave 3. It has happened and now we are seeing wave 3 that broke the trendline. It is still a short.
I've previously mentioned that I expect Google to go up towards earnings and then down. This is an update to the same idea but now that the waveforms are clearer, we can roughly gauge how it will move. Of course, as of this writing, I do expect that the price target of $204.29 will be hit before the intersection of the trendline with the Fibonacci Extension level...
MSFT has completed the first intermediate wave 1 of 3 (blue waves) and now with the last 2 reversal candles, I am expecting it to push up in a wave 2 of 3 before coming down again on a wave 3 of 3. The Fibonacci retracement levels are references for where the price may be rejected as it moves up in this wave 2 of 3. The black down arrow is where I think it...
The chart shows how I think the waves have played out for Goog (and Googl). The last 5 waves (in green), is an ending diagonal, which explained the overlapping waves.
Similar to my Amazon's idea, I believe that META is also going to go up to a Fibonacci extension level of around $651.66 and then start it's decline. It might also be an earnings play where it will announce earnings that exceeds expectations, gapped up, and then sell down.
From my Elliott Wave counts, I believe that Amazon still have some room to go but it will be the last wave up given that wave 4 turns out to be a triangle too. Take note that while I am bearish overall for the entire market, I think that via financial engineering, US equity markets might still be able to hold up for a while. And this time, Amazon may be the stock...
I've broken down the wave counts for DXY and now I am expecting the US dollar to fall. The stop loss will be above the high of 110.176 made on 13th Jan 2025.
Nikkei 225 was ranging in an ascending triangle which, by itself, is a bullish setup. However, the odds of this setup breaking up is not high (last I remember, it's about 66% but please don't quote me or ask me to verify). Now we are focused on 2 facts: 1. It has broken down from the lower trendline, and 2. price was rejected at the broken trendline. What this...