After a massive breakdown of market structure we have finally made the suggested 18.8k potential bottom. Things are not looking particularly bullish though and with Jerome Powells talking in the coming hours the market really could go anywhere. Likelihood is that it will go down a little further as we are slightly more bearish on the technical analysis side of things with a potential descending triangle forming if we break down on this pennant structure (which is technically bullish on the short term timeframe) although with bearish divergences and general bearish sentiment I am not holding much hope for it.
If we break down out of this pennant and below 19k then I would have a conservative stop at 18.5k to find support with a bounce there. Breaking up and retesting the support trendline/19k could see a break up to and retest of 20k quite quickly. Incredibly volatile at the moment so watch out with trades.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:
BULLISH FACTORS: + Bullish Divergence on the 1D + Bullish Descending wedge on the 1D & Weekly + Oversold on the Weekly & Daily + Reversal signal on the Weekly + Holding Daily Trendline with an upper trendline of 21k target
BEARISH FACTORS: - Bearish Divergence in play - Rejection from key resistance - Bearish Gartley on the 5min - Macro Bear Trendline resistance - 1hr Trendline Resistance
NEWS: Bull: + Russian Central Bank & Finance Ministry agree to legalize cryptocurrency use for cross-border payments + Saudi Arabia's central bank has appointed cryptocurrency chief to advance digital goals. + Iran is now licensing #Bitcoin miners under new regulatory framework. + The ETH merge has begun, deposits and withdrawals being held + Switzerland’s SEBA Bank Launches Ethereum Staking Services for Institutional Clients
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