Now market is likely to consolidate in a tight range leading to a breakout to the upside on August 1st. Right now, there is uncertainty regarding signaling, since Segwit activation and avoiding a chain split still depends on the miners' honesty.
My take is that they will go through with it, since no one really wants a chain split, it just is bluffing, if some miner suddenly talks it down, or just fearmongering, when twitter 'celebrities' talk about Bitcoin Cash, etc.
For the most part, I'm pretty sure ViaBTC is badly positioned and aiming to get rid of losing shorts, judging by their constant attempts at fud, but the thing is that Segwit locked in via BIP91 signaling, and I'm dead certain Segwit2x will gain traction.
The only risk is by November, when they hard fork, IF they hard fork. That could make my long term forecast time expiration a reality, by forming a top and a 2 year correction in BTC.
This still doesn't matter now, since in the short term the market will most likely shoot up like crazy after August 1st, hitting the 3500 to 7000usd range.