2025/02/26 - 9th Calendar Week 2025
Another 48h - Recovery Until The Opening WallStreet Bell Today
“price action more or less at the weekly low two calendar weeks ago!
will the price action break out higher bullishly today? if yes, how high?”
Ahead of the eagerly awaited quarterly results of the chip giant Nvidia
NVDA after the stock market closed, the price action WallStreet 
DJIA 
SP500 
NDX rose slightly on Wednesday, February 26th, 2025. The Nasdaq 100 index NDX , dominated by tech heavyweights, just started trading with an increase of +0.4% to 21,167 points. Previously, it had lost more than -1,000 points on four trading days and had lost almost -5%. Nvidia shares NVDA , which had also come under pressure, are currently recovering by +3% at the start of trading. The leading index, the Dow Jones Industrial DJIA , had recently held up better and was almost unchanged at 43,608 points in early trading. The market-wide S&P 500 SP500 rose by +0.2% to 5,970 points. It fell below the 6,000 point mark on Monday, the day before yesterday, at the start of this week.Bitcoin
BTC1! and other cryptos sold off yesterday, Magnificent 7 shares 
GOOG 
AMZN 
AAPL 
MSFT 
META NVDA 
TSLA are now in a correction as the price action is currently more than -10% since the last highs. I define a bearish trend change at -20%. But I wouldn't go that far today - unless Nvidia NVDA disappoints today. My friend cfd online broker analyst scoffed this morning with his words: "With today's figures, Nvidia NVDA not only has to save the WallStreet DJIA SP500 NDX , but indirectly now also Trump, who is currently losing the US economy!" Of course - the latter is a legacy of Biden's unrestrained green democratic debt policy! But isn't Trump making the situation better with his US tariff threats? Yes - if, as I wrote from days and/or weeks ago, if the US tariffs get into account starting next month March 2025 and the US consumer dont get a Made In USA better and/or cheaper alternative for the goods, which will even be +...% more expensive? Because if not, this could be the reason for the next US inflation wave! Because tariffs are fundamentally a useful instrument for every economy - but only if at the same time there is an internal national offer that is even better and/or cheaper for its own consumer! Otherwise the calculation doesn't add up - imports fall, the economy shrinks and/or a new wave of inflation rises if consumers don't consume less because demand will get greater than supply. But Trump and his team certainly know that too. And if the calculation doesn't add up? That's right - fears of recession will take over us all about the US. And the expectations of securities traders and/or securities investors, including US economic experts, that the Fed will have to lower interest rates more quickly are likely to rise again. Interesting mind games - but tonight! Nvidia NVDA is likely to remain the topic among traders and/or investors. And especially tomorrow. Because not only Nvidia NVDA and the Nasdaq 100 NDX are oversold for a short time period, but also Bitcoin BTC1! . Nevertheless the excesses before were even more extreme - so now things can't go extremely in the opposite direction bearish down. Rather, they continue to move bullish upwards again.- Will The Bulls Come Back Above 107.348 Points, The Annual High Of 2023?
That was the question of the last 8th calendar week. And we have to answer this question with NO - because the last price action on Friday, the 21st february 2025 was 106.641 points. Answering this question was instructive because a price action below would and will also retrospectively confirm the trend reversal formation of the price action development above the annual high of 2023, namely even the 107.348 points.
“I'm not doing my philanthropic work, out of any kind of guilt, or any need to create good public relations. I'm doing it because I can afford to do it, and I believe in it.”
George Soros
- Will The Bears Defend The Terrain Under 107.348 Points Once Again This Week?
This is the question of this 9th calendar week. And it is important because it would confirm the trend reversal formation above the 2023 annual high, at just 107.348 Points points, in the second week in a row.
110.176 : 2025/01/13 - Annual High 2025
108.583 : 2024/12/31 - Annual High 2024
107.348 : 2023/10/03 - Annual High 2023
106.494 : 2025/02/26 - last price action
105.441 : 2024/11/06 - Trump Re-Election Day
Traders and/or investors only sent the DXY
DXY during today's trading session, on Monday, the 24th February 2025 at 106.665 points (some minutes after the closing bell on WallStreet). What are - 0.683 points under the Annual High of 2023, from the 3rd October 2023, at 107.348 points. And/Or + 1.224 points above the Intraday High on Trump Re-Election Day, from the 6th November 2024, at 105.441 points. What is fundamentally important in this respect is to be able to detect whether the short-term bearish trend reversal formation above the 2023 annual high of just 107.348 points will be confirmed this week. And we tend to continue to see slightly falling price action towards Trump's Election Day Intraday High of 105.441 points. Or will the bulls be starting to fight back this week? And traders and/or investors who will send price action above 107.348 points again by the weekend?109.881 : 2025/02/02 - 1st Short Downtrend 1st Leg
108.523 : 2025/02/12 - 1st Short Downtrend 2nd Leg
108.523 : 2025/02/12 - 2nd Short Downtrend 1st Leg
107.381 : 2025/02/19 - 2nd Short Downtrend 2nd Leg
107.381 : 2025/02/19 - 3rd Short Downtrend 1st Leg
106.789 : 2025/02/24 - 3rd Short Downtrend 2nd Leg
106.566 : 2025/02/14 - Last Week Before Low
106.494 : 2025/02/26 - last price action
106.334 : 2025/02/20 - Last Week Low
106.126 : 2025/02/23 - This Week Low
Be that as it may, in addition to the general picture this week, if we analyze the price action in a little more detail without losing track at the same time, the three short-term downward trends are groundbreaking. Why? Because at the current hour - while the Wall Street bell rang in the trading day 2.3 minutes ago - we are currently experiencing the battle of the bulls and/or bears for the low two calendar weeks ago. The DXY
DXY price action is with a slightly bullish surplus of +0.2% currently at 106.494 points. And that after we opened the day today just above the weekly low of 106.126 points at 106.174 points. So that we have had a relatively good bullish trading day during today's trading session, on Wednesday, the 26th February. The 106.566 points, i.e. the low two weeks ago, is so important because bullish traders and/or investors can argue positively if the price action is above the rest of the week. So, looking back, could the first two days have been something of a trend reversal? On the other hand, the bulls are currently fighting against the extended trend line of the second downtrend. And/Or also there are still a few points away from the extended first downward trend line. Which will range between 106,700 and/or 106,600 points for the rest of today's day. So it stays super super exciting! And I still tend to have a bearish bias for the DXY DXY until the weekend - and after that too. Unless the market, the traders and/or investors, punish me for lying, read me the Levites, and the price action recovers by the weekend towards the annual high of 2023 of 107.348 points bullish back above.With best wishes
and good intentions:
Aaron
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