2024/11/08
Another 48h - DXY Is Heading Into Weekend Relaxed Upwards
“this week was a tough one - trump and/or interest rate cut!
will the next week be a little less volatile? bullish again?”
- that's what everyone currently believes, if I'm not mistaken:
But what if Elon Musk, with Trump's backing, does what he promised? Exactly - then exactly the opposite could happen! Because Elon Musk wants to end the US debt orgy and significantly reduce the government's budget - and he has brought in none other than Ron Paul to do this. A libertarian warhorse from Texas - who is more than just a concept for everyone who is concerned with money in general (taxes, interest, consumer prices). yes, it's even an icon - for me too. The USA is getting serious - with Trump back in office in 2025. And Musk too. BRAVO! The debt orgy since 2001, following the terrorist attack on the World Trade Center, is the root of all evil for the USA. And which reached their climax in the green socialist programs, under the guise of liberal democracy, after the outbreak of the Coronavirus outbreak - not only in the USA, in our so-called West. Because since then, numerous budgets have been wasted on warlike, costly adventures that have cost not only money but also numerous lives. And of course under the pretext of saving lives - the war industry.
However, July, August and/or September
were bearish red months for the
which was a juicy bullish green month. What we can also prove with the help of the fundamental Marko analysis, using US economic figures - such as the publication of the last two US unemployment rates. And/Or also based on the publication of the last US inflation rate. Because during all three publications, and especially afterwards, the price action of the
Not that we misunderstand each other - I don't want to abolish the military - but I consider the use of the military to be the last resort, and the worst of all options, for a responsible, civilized political leader! What? Like what? Like who? That's right - like Trump! Regarding foreign policy. And now also with regard to the in-house US economy - even MAGA. Economically, this is probably the only and perhaps last option to stop the debt tsunami - but for gold and stocks for the time being, at least for the period of transition, one to two years, depending on how long it would take, initially could be bad! Because both gold and stocks benefit from the escalating debt. Gold is likely to fall because insurance coverage would then fall - the less the US government owes and or the smaller the trade deficit is. And when it comes to stocks, the gap between companies with strong dividends that can finance themselves from cash flow and dividend stocks compared to unprofitable ones, let alone IPOs that do not yet have any profits, is likely to widen. Therefore, we remain in a wait-and-see attitude and let our long 4XSetUps continue for now - and take our profits when target prices are reached. And/Or also realize our losses if our stop price should be traded.
“I’m only rich because I know when I’m wrong… I basically have survived by recognizing my mistakes.”
George Soros
104.951 : 2024/11/08 - last price action
104.799 : 2024/07/30 - July High Before Sell-Off
104.447 : 2024/08/01 - High Of W-Formation
102.624 : 2024/11/01 - High During Unemployment Data Release
103.820 : 2017/11/01 - Historical 2nd Mid-Term High
102.624 : 2024/10/04 - Low During Unemployment Data Release
103.104 : 2024/10/10 - High During Inflation Data Release
102.720 : 2024/10/10 - Low During Inflation Data Release
102.624 : 2024/10/04 - High During Unemployment Data Release
102.160 : 2024/08/05 - Low W-Formation
101.855 : 2024/10/04 - Low During Unemployment Data Release
I stick to our basic stance that an upward breakout from our W trend reversal formation is bullish. And/or also a breakout downwards is bearish. And I, if at all, will formulate only a long 4XSetUp or even a short 4XSetUp based on this! If any? Because with the “Another 48h - DXY …” series I want, first and foremost, to learn with you. Make an educational contribution every day that describes the decision-making process for a (not) imminent long and/or 4XSetUp. So let us wait until the
Today's price action was more than tough - especially in relation to the second half of the calendar week that has now just ended. Why? It seems like we are confirming the outbreak out of our w trend reversal formation, about 104.447 points. And/or we are confirming the last high before, even July`24 high, also bullish, at 104.799 points. Because we closed with 104.95 points above both price actions. It was a truly groundbreaking week - independent of the price action, from the technical analysis pov (point of view). Because first Trump back in Office 2025 and then also the interest rate decision yesterday; and today even better than expected consumer sentiment from UNI Michigan. Which ultimately sent the
With best wishes
and with good intentions!
Aaron
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