2025/02/25 - 9th Calendar Week 2025
Another 48h - Another Bearish Day With -0.39% Today
“no new weekly low but price action was trending bearish!
will we experience new lows tomorrow? if so, how deep?”
Shortly before the eagerly awaited quarterly results of the chip giant Nvidia
NVDA today, on Tuesday, the 25th February 2025, investors on the US stock exchanges exercised caution during todays trading session. The leading index Dow Jones Industrial 
DJI was able to gain moderately, but otherwise the price losses outweighed the losses. Nvidia NVDA continued its recent losing streak, and with it other tech heavyweights. In the end, the Dow DJI still gained +0.37% to 43,621.16 points. The index received tailwind primarily from consumer-related stocks such as Home Depot 
HD , Walmart 
WMT , Johnson & Johnson 
JNJ , Procter & Gamble 
PG and/or McDonalds 
MCD . The market-wide S&P 500 
SP500 , on the other hand, fell by -0.47% to 5,955.25 points today. The Nasdaq 100 
NDX came under even greater pressure and lost -1.24% to 21,087.25 points.Topic number one remains the uncertainty about US President Donald Trump's policies and the concern that this will leave its mark on the global economy with tariffs and other restrictions. Once again the focus was on the chip sector. The Bloomberg news agency, citing sources, reported that the US government was planning to tighten restrictions and also put pressure on important companies in other countries. And/Or also CNN reported yesterday: "President Donald Trump is eyeing a “25% or higher” tariff on all semiconductor chips the United States imports, with rates likely to “go very substantially higher over a course of a year,” he told reporters on Tuesday." So it was and/or still is not surprising that chip stocks were among the biggest losers today. So the market's caution about Nvidia's
NVDA business figures and/or forecasts is manifested in the price action losses of many stocks - which are associated with chips. Many have lost almost -10% since Friday. Corrections begin to occur. Also in a few long 4XSetUps from us. Today, on this Tuesday, the 25th February 2025, the loss was -2.8% for Nvidia NVDA , for example. Other tech heavyweights in the Dow Jones 
DJIA such as IBM 
IBM and/or Microsoft 
MSFT also fell above average today.- Will The Bulls Come Back Above 107.348 Points, The Annual High Of 2023?
That was the question of the last 8th calendar week. And we have to answer this question with NO - because the last price action on Friday, the 21st february 2025 was 106.641 points. Answering this question was instructive because a price action below would and will also retrospectively confirm the trend reversal formation of the price action development above the annual high of 2023, namely even the 107.348 points.
“The main obstacle to further progress on the resource curse is China, and to a lesser extent India.”
George Soros
- Will The Bears Defend The Terrain Under 107.348 Points Once Again This Week?
This is the question of this 9th calendar week. And it is important because it would confirm the trend reversal formation above the 2023 annual high, at just 107.348 Points points, in the second week in a row.
110.176 : 2025/01/13 - Annual High 2025
108.583 : 2024/12/31 - Annual High 2024
107.348 : 2023/10/03 - Annual High 2023
106.621 : 2025/02/25 - last price action
105.441 : 2024/11/06 - Trump Re-Election Day
Traders and/or investors only sent the DXY
DXY during today's trading session, on Tuesday, the 25th February 2025 at 106.621 points (some minutes before the closing bell on WallStreet). What are - 0.727 points under the Annual High of 2023, from the 3rd October 2023, at 107.348 points. And/Or + 1.180 points above the Intraday High on Trump Re-Election Day, from the 6th November 2024, at 105.441 points. What is fundamentally important in this respect is to be able to detect whether the short-term bearish trend reversal formation above the 2023 annual high of just 107.348 points will be confirmed this week. And we tend to continue to see slightly falling price action towards Trump's Election Day Intraday High of 105.441 points. Or will the bulls be starting to fight back this week? And traders and/or investors who will send price action above 107.348 points again by the weekend?109.881 : 2025/02/02 - 1st Short Downtrend 1st Leg
108.523 : 2025/02/12 - 1st Short Downtrend 2nd Leg
108.523 : 2025/02/12 - 2nd Short Downtrend 1st Leg
107.381 : 2025/02/19 - 2nd Short Downtrend 2nd Leg
107.381 : 2025/02/19 - 3rd Short Downtrend 1st Leg
106.789 : 2025/02/24 - 3rd Short Downtrend 2nd Leg
106.789 : 2025/02/24 - This Week High
106.566 : 2025/02/14 - Last Week Before Low
106.334 : 2025/02/20 - Last Week Low
106.287 : 2025/02/25 - last price action
106.126 : 2025/02/23 - This Week Low
Be that as it may, in addition to the general picture this week, if we analyze the price action in a little more detail without losing track at the same time, the three short-term downward trends are groundbreaking. Why? Because yesterday i.e. the trading session closed round about the extended 2ns Short Downtrend Line around 106.669 points. Maybe that's why we had a relatively bearish trading day today. Namely, with a minus of -0.39%. So that traders and/or investors sent the price action over the course of the day both below the low of the week before last - 106.566 points from the 14th February 2025 - and below the low of last week - 106.334 points from the 20th February 2025. However, basically a little good news for the bulls that the not to a new weekly low - today's low at 106.189 points was higher than yesterday's low at 106.126 points. And what does that tell us? The bears are back - but the bulls are still fighting! Albeit at a low level when it comes to price action in the first two trading days of this 9th calendar week. Therefore, my basic assumption remains to prefer the bearish side. Even I will not and/or can not rule out the strength of the bulls to send the DXY
DXY back above the 2023 annual highs of over 107.348 points. And that also because we had in the first two hours a new weekly high at 106.789 points - which included a false intraday break out of the extended 2nd Downtrend line. That's why I painted a new 3rd Short Downtrend 1st Leg and/or 2nd Leg with an extended line too.With best wishes
and good intentions:
Aaron
Another 48h - DXY ... is pure information material.
By trying to give you even more information about the
DXY every day to make even better trading decisions (buy/sell or do nothing). The goal of each day is from my side that you say to yourself after reading my daily analysis (Another 48h - DXY ...): "I didn't notice that before!" Because then you have received new information; yes - maybe even learned something!? If, yes? Then give me a like - and continue reading tomorrow! Concrete 4XSetUps with entry price, target price and also stop price are available in the daily 4XSetUps...
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.