Bullish momentum builds for gold, with traders targeting $3,451.

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From a technical perspective, gold has broken through the $3,423 resistance level, confirming a breakout from the symmetrical triangle pattern that has formed in recent weeks. Both price action and the relative strength index (RSI) show bullish momentum supporting this breakout - the RSI is currently close to 63, indicating that there is still room to go before entering overbought territory. Gold currently maintains a strong bullish structure

Gold prices have firmly established themselves above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the April low-to-high move ($3,372), with the next resistance level being the June 16 high of $3,452-3,463 (short zone). A sustained break above $3,463.53 would point directly to the all-time high of $3,500.20, especially if Powell makes dovish comments; even if Powell maintains a neutral or cautious stance, disagreements within the Fed may continue to weigh on the dollar, providing support for gold. On the downside, the immediate short-term support is at 3408, and the support is around $3393-3383 (buy long area).

Overall, this breakthrough marks the rekindling of bullish interest in gold, and the daily closing price needs to stand above $3400 to confirm the sustainability of the upward momentum. Before the August 1 trade tariff deadline, the rising risk premium and the uncertainty of the global economy and geopolitics, the gold price forecast is still bullish, with technical and fundamental support.
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