Silver (XAGUSD)
Short
Updated

Silver – Bearish Move Toward Support

104
🧠 Market Overview:
Instrument: Likely Silver (based on file name).

Chart Context: The price is currently trading below both the 50 EMA (red) and 200 EMA (blue), indicating bearish momentum and a possible shift in market structure.

📊 Key Technical Components:
🔹 Exponential Moving Averages (EMA):
50 EMA (32.614) is above the 200 EMA (32.526) but both are above the current price.

This crossover is recent and could indicate the beginning of a larger downtrend if confirmed by continued price action below both EMAs.

🔹 Market Structure:
POI (Point of Interest) marks a previous swing high where selling pressure emerged.

The chart shows internal liquidity (INT.LQ) sweeps both above and below consolidation areas, hinting at smart money manipulation to grab liquidity before making a move.

🔹 Resistance Zone:
Clearly defined between approx. 33.4–34.0, where price was rejected after a failed attempt to break higher.

Multiple rejections from this zone show strong selling pressure.

🔹 Support Zone:
Sitting between approx. 30.8–31.2.

Price previously consolidated here before a bullish move, making it a likely target for a return test or a potential bounce.

📉 Bearish Scenario & Projection:
The price broke below a short-term structure and failed to hold above EMAs.

The current price action shows a bearish pullback likely to form a Lower High (LH).

The projected path shows a pullback to previous support-turned-resistance, followed by a breakdown targeting the support zone.

✅ Bias:
Short-term bias: Bearish
Medium-term bias: Bearish, unless price reclaims the 200 EMA and consolidates above the resistance zone.

🔍 Confluences Supporting Bearish Outlook:
Price below EMAs (dynamic resistance).

Failed higher highs with liquidity sweeps (indicating smart money selling).

Clear market structure shift to the downside.

Anticipated retest of support zone around 30.8–31.2.

Trade closed manually

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