TradingView Idea: CPI Data – Gold at the Crossroads (June 11, 2025)
📰 Macro Catalyst: US CPI Data Release – June 11 at 12:30 GMT
Market awaits critical inflation data. Forecasts point to Core CPI YoY at 2.9% (vs previous 2.8%).
This is a macro turning point for Gold (XAU/USD).
📊 Gold Technical Setup
Chart Setup (D1):
Key Resistance: $2,375 (recent swing high)
Support Zone: $2,295–$2,310
200 EMA: Acting as dynamic support around $2,310
RSI: Near 50 — momentum undecided
🧠 Scenario Planning – CPI Impact on Gold
🟥 Bearish Case (CPI Hot – Above 2.9%)
Fed tightening risks rise → real yields spike → Gold under pressure
Trade Idea:
🔻 Short XAU/USD
🎯 Target: $2,295 → $2,250
🛡️ SL: $2,375
🟩 Bullish Case (CPI Cools – Below 2.9%)
Fed dovish pivot grows likelier → USD weakens → gold rallies
Trade Idea:
🟢 Long XAU/USD
🎯 Target: $2,375 → $2,410
🛡️ SL: $2,310
📅 Watchlist for Reaction:
📌 DXY (Dollar Index)
📌 US10Y Yields
📌 Fed Futures (for rate cut pricing)
💬 Mindset for Traders
"Trade the reaction, not the number."
Gold is a macro asset—watch how yields and USD react, not just the CPI number itself.
📰 Macro Catalyst: US CPI Data Release – June 11 at 12:30 GMT
Market awaits critical inflation data. Forecasts point to Core CPI YoY at 2.9% (vs previous 2.8%).
This is a macro turning point for Gold (XAU/USD).
📊 Gold Technical Setup
Chart Setup (D1):
Key Resistance: $2,375 (recent swing high)
Support Zone: $2,295–$2,310
200 EMA: Acting as dynamic support around $2,310
RSI: Near 50 — momentum undecided
🧠 Scenario Planning – CPI Impact on Gold
🟥 Bearish Case (CPI Hot – Above 2.9%)
Fed tightening risks rise → real yields spike → Gold under pressure
Trade Idea:
🔻 Short XAU/USD
🎯 Target: $2,295 → $2,250
🛡️ SL: $2,375
🟩 Bullish Case (CPI Cools – Below 2.9%)
Fed dovish pivot grows likelier → USD weakens → gold rallies
Trade Idea:
🟢 Long XAU/USD
🎯 Target: $2,375 → $2,410
🛡️ SL: $2,310
📅 Watchlist for Reaction:
📌 DXY (Dollar Index)
📌 US10Y Yields
📌 Fed Futures (for rate cut pricing)
💬 Mindset for Traders
"Trade the reaction, not the number."
Gold is a macro asset—watch how yields and USD react, not just the CPI number itself.
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Get Accurate Forex & Gold Signals Daily!
Join our trusted trading team with real-time insights and expert support.
Start your winning journey now
Join our trusted trading team with real-time insights and expert support.
Start your winning journey now
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.