I’m dropping this XAU/USD M30 insight because my system’s a damn executioner, and you need to see how I hunt the market. This chart is a textbook of bearish patterns—first a bearish three drives showing smart money exhausting buyers with three weakening upward pushes, then a head and shoulders with the neckline break confirming the reversal, and now a bearish shark forming to seal the deal, all playing out within my descending trendlines. Smart money’s been in control from the start, distributing at the peaks, grabbing liquidity, and dumping price to hunt stop-losses below key levels. Supply and demand zones are my edge—supply at the right shoulder of the head and shoulders where sellers stacked orders before the break, demand near the lower trendline where buyers might step in, my target for this bearish move. My checklist operations are a predator’s playbook. I start with harmonic patterns, hunting XABCD structures like the bearish shark I’m seeing now, signaling smart money’s reversal zones. I confirm market structure, looking for breaks of structure to show trend shifts—here, the neckline break confirms bearish continuation. I identify order blocks, those consolidation zones where smart money stacks orders, like the bearish order block at the right shoulder where sellers distributed. Volume profile is key—I check for high volume nodes where price stalls, like the neckline where sellers defended, and low volume nodes that act as magnets, like gaps below the neckline. Top-down analysis keeps me sharp—four-hour timeframe sets the bearish trend, one-hour confirms the break, thirty-minute narrows the setup, fifteen-minute is my strike zone, waiting for a neckline retest. I use Heikin Ashi for confirmation—red candles mean sell, waiting for red on the fifteen-minute at the retest. Fibonacci levels mark my targets—I focus on key extensions to set exits, like targeting the lower trendline of the channel. Gann theory adds confluence—I look for angles or retracements to align with my setups, like a Gann angle pointing to the lower trendline. MACD and RSI measure momentum—MACD’s bearish crossover and negative histogram confirm the downtrend, RSI below fifty with bearish divergence at the right shoulder seals it. Risk management is my law—I risk small to win big, stop-loss above the right shoulder, take-profit at the lower trendline, aiming for a high reward ratio. I monitor news and liquidity traps—fake spikes above the neckline are smart money’s tricks, so I stay sharp. I wait for confirmation—every piece aligns, or I walk, then I document to keep my edge razor-sharp. I’m rating this system a ten out of ten—harmonic patterns, Smart Money Concepts, volume profile, top-down analysis, and now MACD and RSI for momentum make it untouchable. I’ve fine-tuned this over six months, backtesting until it’s a weapon. I need two of you to join me at Academia—let’s hunt together.DYOR
Shieldsmine Diaries
Shieldsmine Diaries
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The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.