Gold-dollar, daily

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Gold prices rose over 1% as the dollar rally paused, with market players awaiting comments from Federal Reserve officials for clues on the U.S. interest rate path. Expectations of less-dovish rhetoric from U.S. policymakers in December and a potential rate hold in January may pose an obstacle for gold, as investors recalibrate their expectations. Strong U.S. economic and inflation data, along with news of Ukraine using U.S.-made weapons to strike Russia, impacted the debate among Fed policymakers over the pace and extent of rate cuts.

From a technical point of view, the price is testing the support area of the 100-day moving average just below the resistance of the 38.2% of the weekly Fibonacci retracement level. The Stochastic is in the extreme oversold level hinting to a potential continuation of the recent bullish correction while the Bollinger bands are quite expanded indicating that volatility in the market for gold is fueled up. The faster 50-day moving average is still trading above the slower 100-day despite the recent aggressive bearish correction further supporting the narrative of a bullish correction. If the price manages to make a valid break above the psychological resistance of $2,600 then the next area of possible resistance might be found around $2,680 which is the combination of the 23.6% of the weekly Fibonacci retracement level and the 50-day moving average.

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