ridethepig | Gold & the "Santa Rally"
Updated
Uncertainty around reflationary fears will add upside risks to prices in Gold for 1H20. Gold remains bid since the start of November, despite risky assets continuing to gain ground. CB's have been buying 20% of the Gold supplies, the same rate circa Nixon era, all whilst mainstream media paints the geopolitical landscape with a more constructive backdrop, any signs of complacency or gusts of wind from risk will likely drive more flows on the demand side in Gold from retail.
We are finally getting the breakout:
As widely covered here before, the physical Gold market remains incredibly resilient and first targets come into play at 1595:
Expecting another relative breakout versus S&P in 1H20:
On the mining side :
Yields:
For those tracking the end of year positioning flows for 2020 Q1, reflationary risks are around the corner!! After months of choppy waters , finally bulls are emerging from beneath the woodwork as we begin the flows towards 1650. I stick to my average forecast of $1650 and expect Gold to hit $1595, $1650 and $1800 on a 6, 12 and 24m basis. This is my final target in the 5 wave swing, afterwards I will expect Gold to enter in consolidation via profit taking.
Thanks for keeping the support coming with likes, comments, charts and etc. And as usual the comments are open for all.
We are finally getting the breakout:
As widely covered here before, the physical Gold market remains incredibly resilient and first targets come into play at 1595:
Expecting another relative breakout versus S&P in 1H20:
On the mining side :
Yields:
For those tracking the end of year positioning flows for 2020 Q1, reflationary risks are around the corner!! After months of choppy waters , finally bulls are emerging from beneath the woodwork as we begin the flows towards 1650. I stick to my average forecast of $1650 and expect Gold to hit $1595, $1650 and $1800 on a 6, 12 and 24m basis. This is my final target in the 5 wave swing, afterwards I will expect Gold to enter in consolidation via profit taking.
Thanks for keeping the support coming with likes, comments, charts and etc. And as usual the comments are open for all.
Trade active
Well done bulls !!! A flawless leg higher right on time for Christmas. Enjoy the holidays, business resumes on Thursday NY session. We have lots to cover with a busy 2020 ahead both marketwise and on ridethepig front.
Note
Alarm bells ringing in Bund yields, while smart money continues to bid Gold and smells the reflationary risks around the corner. 
Note
Simple flows here so far... well done all on the buy sideNote
Trade closed: target reached
We got there...!!
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