XAU/USD Awaits PCE Catalyst – Rejection or Breakout?

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Gold prices are trading around $3,297 after rejecting the $3,324 resistance zone. The market is currently showing signs of exhaustion near a minor resistance, and price action suggests a potential short-term pullback. Attention now shifts to today's U.S. Core PCE data, a key inflation metric for the Fed, which may dictate near-term direction and shape the monthly close.

XAUUSD GOLD Gold tested the $3,324 resistance area but failed to break higher, forming a lower high. A potential bearish setup is developing as price reacts to minor resistance around $3,310. If bears regain control, a drop toward the key support level at $3,240 is likely. A break below this level could open the door to further downside in the upcoming sessions. Conversely, if bulls manage to reclaim $3,324 and establish a strong daily close above, we could see a retest of $3,350 and higher.

Key Event Today:

At 8:30 PM GMT+8, the U.S. will release April's Core PCE Price Index – the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge:

MoM: Expected at 0.1%

YoY: Expected at 2.5% (Previous 2.6%)


A softer-than-expected reading could increase rate cut expectations and offer bullish momentum to gold. Stronger data, however, may renew USD strength and pressure XAU/USD lower.


Resistance: $3,310 , $3,324

Support: $3,240 , $3,207

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