Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar
Short
Updated

XAUUSD Opening Trends and Trading Strategies Next Week

660
Should the downward trend persist and breach the 3265 mark 🔻, the subsequent support level to watch closely will be 3195. Conversely, in the event that this key resistance holds firm 🛡️, there's a strong likelihood of a rebound kicking in as early as next week 📈!

XAUUSD Analysis​
I. Interpretation of the News 📰​
This week, the multiple shifts in Trump's attitude towards Powell have become a key factor driving significant fluctuations in the gold price. On Monday, US President Trump bluntly stated that if interest rates are not lowered immediately, the US economy may slow down, and he once again criticized Federal Reserve Chairman Powell. However, Powell responded that before the impact of Trump's tariff plan on inflation becomes clear and does not lead to a sustained surge in inflation, it is not appropriate to cut interest rates. 💰💼​
The continuous pressure exerted by the Trump administration on the Federal Reserve Chairman has triggered a series of market reactions: the stock market has fallen under pressure, and bond yields have risen. This has led investors and analysts to start pondering what the consequences would be if Trump insists on challenging the independence of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and even attempts to remove Powell from his position with a little over a year left in his term. This uncertainty has injected more volatile factors into the gold market. 😰📊​

II. Current Market Trends📈📉
The recent trend of the gold market has been extremely volatile, with intraday trading fluctuations frequently approaching $100. Against the backdrop of tense trade situations, market risk - aversion has skyrocketed, pushing the gold price to break above the $3,500 mark at one point. However, as Trump's stance on tariffs softened this week, coupled with long - position investors taking profits near the $3,500 level, the gold price has dropped significantly this week, hitting a low of around $3,260.🚨💥

III. Technical Analysis 📊​
(1) Daily Chart 📅​
Yesterday, gold closed with a large bearish candle with a relatively long lower shadow. When the price fell to around $3,265 for the second time, a double - bottom support formed, and the price stabilized and rebounded to $3,319. This trend indicates that $3,265 has become a key defensive position for the bulls in the near term. As long as this level holds, the gold price is not likely to weaken easily and will most likely maintain a volatile upward trend. ⚖️🚀​

(2) 4 - Hour Chart ⏱️​
From the perspective of the 4 - hour chart, gold is in a triangular consolidation pattern. Currently, the gold price has received effective support from the trend line and is gradually starting an upward trend. At the same time, the resistance of the middle band of the Bollinger Bands to the K - line is not significant, which further validates that the medium - to long - term bullish trend of gold is taking shape. With the appearance of consecutive upward - closing candles, it provides strong support for the subsequent rise of the gold price. It is expected that the key short - term resistance level is around $3,370, and gold is expected to start a new round of upward rally on this basis. 🌟📈


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